Image not available

587x668

taleb.png

๐Ÿงต Predicting the future

Anonymous No. 16112615

Is there anything wrong with devising new ways to make more accurate predictions?
Not sure why some statisticians are so against the idea.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superforecaster

Anonymous No. 16112620

>>16112615
what if you predict you will do something? have some special magic machine, and it predicts you are going to say "I am a retarded faggot" tomorrow at 1PM. do you think your body will involuntarily say it, without you having any control over it? if you know it will happen?

Anonymous No. 16112623

also what if that machine perfectly predicts every future actions of yours? if I start reciting it to you will you instantly act like a puppet and do anything I tell you?

Anonymous No. 16112767

>>16112615
That page and this one here
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Good_Judgment_Project
read like they were written by the people running the Good Judgement Project Inc business. I read a lot of Wikipedia articles and those ones just seem a bit weird