Anonymous at Wed, 24 Apr 2024 16:27:05 UTC No. 16143922

>>16143901
That's the suspension bridge effect at work there my chum, no better time to slay than after a tragery, the tragedier the better.

Anonymous at Wed, 24 Apr 2024 16:39:32 UTC No. 16143938

>>16143901
>OP at an anime con with 100 trannies.
>Only 1/100 trannies want to talk to him.
>He doesn't know which one and approaches randomly.
>Security says these 98 trannies can't stand OP.
>Should OP leave the random tranny alone and go for the one tranny that security didn't mention?

Anonymous at Wed, 24 Apr 2024 16:45:50 UTC No. 16143946

>>16143938
Well, should I?

Anonymous at Wed, 24 Apr 2024 16:57:10 UTC No. 16143958

>>16143901
Unsurprisingly, a poor understanding of the problem also results in a faulty analogy

Anonymous at Wed, 24 Apr 2024 17:04:25 UTC No. 16143968

>>16143958
Where is the flaw?

Anonymous at Wed, 24 Apr 2024 17:15:20 UTC No. 16143975

>>16143968
Firstly, there are three women, not two. Secondly, you know that one of them is 100% into you, but you do not know which one. Maybe you're meeting a blind date who is as into your obscure weird fetish as you are but stupidly forgot to agree on a token of recognition in your eagerness to meet. You also know that any other women will be repulsed by your sick fetish. If you broach the subject of your fetish with someone who is not into it, she will kick you in the balls, neutering you, and subsequently have you arrested, ruining any chance you have of getting laid. However, you have no other way of ascertaining her identity. With nothing to go on, you strike up a conversation with a random woman Whilst she is your captive audience, another woman gets up and leaves. You know this cannot be the woman you were intending to meet; she will never meet another man as sick as you. One other woman that you didn't talk to is still waiting by the bar.

So, do you bring up your fetish to the woman you're talking to? Or do you go to the woman by the bar and apologise for the confusion? What if there were four women in the bar, and two of them left, besides one by the bar and the one you're awkwardly making small talk with? What if there were five, and three of them left over the course of the evening? What if there were fifty women at first and at the end of the night there's just two left, the one you're talking to, and another who's been sitting by herself all evening?

Anonymous at Wed, 24 Apr 2024 17:24:07 UTC No. 16143978

>>16143975
Yeah that's the Monty Hall Problem alright but I'm just pointing out how absurd it is that the success probability of a group concentrates into one choice once the rest have been eliminated. Isn't that the standard reasoning behind switching?

Anonymous at Wed, 24 Apr 2024 20:23:46 UTC No. 16144168

>>16143978
It only happens when there is a specific reason for it. Probability is not an inherent property something possesses, but an expression of our relative certainty about it. So as women leave the bar, it becomes more likely that the ones who stay behind have an interest in you.

Anonymous at Thu, 25 Apr 2024 00:26:50 UTC No. 16144549

why does this problem filter so many normalfags? It's obvious that when goat doors are eliminated, the remaining unselected door becomes more tantalizing. any literal retard should be able to intuitively understand that switching doors after the elimination of a goat door gives them an advantage.

Anonymous at Thu, 25 Apr 2024 21:24:48 UTC No. 16145857

>>16144168
like how mr. monty only opens the door without the free pussy behind it because he knows the door is celibate