/sci/ UPenn, notorious underestimators, predict up to 39 named tropical storms in 2024 atlantic

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🧵 UPenn, notorious underestimators, predict up to 39 named tropical storms in 2024 atlantic

Anonymous at Thu, 25 Apr 2024 05:47:12 UTC No. 16144810

It’s over. Climate Chaos is here, coasties.

https://web.sas.upenn.edu/mannresearchgroup/highlights/highlights-2024hurricane/

Anonymous at Thu, 25 Apr 2024 05:52:16 UTC No. 16144814

Dumb prediction, tropical cyclone activity is suppressed during the peak of sunspot activity.

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Anonymous at Thu, 25 Apr 2024 05:56:45 UTC No. 16144819

The frequency of US hurricanes peaked during the 1880s and has been declining ever since.

Anonymous at Thu, 25 Apr 2024 05:56:47 UTC No. 16144820

>>16144814
Their predictions have a 100% rate of never overestimating.

Anonymous at Thu, 25 Apr 2024 11:29:59 UTC No. 16145136

>>16144819
The 2020s aren't even half over yet.

Anonymous at Thu, 25 Apr 2024 12:16:15 UTC No. 16145176

>>16144820
Nate Silver correctly predicted every US presidential election until 2016.

Anonymous at Thu, 25 Apr 2024 12:21:50 UTC No. 16145179

>>16144819
Wrong. That's old data. Based on new studies, most of those 19th century "hurricanes" were actually Tropical Storms and with that in mind the number of Hurricanes has gone up by 30% in the past 100 years.