🧵 Untitled Thread
Anonymous at Sat, 27 Jul 2024 20:09:19 UTC No. 16299389
How do some people win this several times in a row? Can mathematics really model the randomness here?
Anonymous at Sat, 27 Jul 2024 20:29:31 UTC No. 16299445
>>16299389
>How do some people win this several times in a row?
If NO ONE did then I would know it was rigged.
Anonymous at Sat, 27 Jul 2024 20:37:09 UTC No. 16299450
>>16299402
Interesting. Do you have full screenshot?
>>16299445
How come?
Anonymous at Sat, 27 Jul 2024 22:32:10 UTC No. 16299578
>>16299402
I studied various state lottories both number pucking jackpots and scratch offs. Most seem fixed in various ways. Black and hispanic minority areas are flooded with winning tickets to keep people pacified while rural communities get no winning tickets. I've done experiments to correct for the different rates of consumption of tickets as well with the same results. I've gone 10 or even 15 scratch off tickets in a row as losers in deep rural areas and never more than five losers before a small win in a bigger city. I've repeated this over and over with the same results as have others. This also corresponds to strange data about large winners and where it happens as well. The most violent politically active black parts of the blackest big city in my state is also the #1 recipient of lotto winners. The state floods these areas with winners on purpose.
Then you look into KNOWN cases of employees or regular people scamming the big number ball lottery and you see how easy it is for the elites to do it. It allows for so many evul schemes. You can pay your hitmen with lotto wins and it's all a clean paper trail. The elites would be stupid not to scam with the lottery. There is even a case of the state lottery finding out regular people found an "exploit" in a scratch off and wasn't mad and didn't change the game right away. So it's likely they have known exploits in lotto games they allow to happen so people on the inside can have access to winning tickets whenever they need to.
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 04:23:24 UTC No. 16299927
>>16299389
It is mathematically absurd for someone to win the lottery twice.
But it's also mathematically absurd for someone to win the lottery once, yet someone always wins the lottery. Probability is just funky like that.
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 04:27:30 UTC No. 16299929
>>16299578
>Black and hispanic minority areas are flooded with winning tickets
>The most violent politically active black parts of the blackest big city in my state is also the #1 recipient of lotto winners
Poor people are the most likely demographic to pay the lottery.
Black people are the most likely racial/ethnic group to be poor.
You do the math.
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 04:28:01 UTC No. 16299930
*play
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 04:31:04 UTC No. 16299932
>Joan Ginther was an American four-time lottery winner. She first won the lottery in 1993, when she won $5.4 million in Lotto Texas (equivalent to about $11.4M in 2023). Her next win came in 2006 when she won $2 million in the Holiday Millionaire scratch-off. Her third win happened in 2008, when she won $3 million from a Millions and Millions ticket. In 2010, she won $10 million, her largest prize, bringing her total winnings to $20.4 million. All of her winning tickets were purchased in Texas, and two of them were bought from the same convenience store in Bishop, Texas.
>“It’s incredible for the store owner,” Texas Lotto Director Bobby Heith told the Caller Times. “Most of our 16,000 retail stores have never sold a winning ticket.”
>The store itself will get $10,000 for selling the most recent winning ticket.
>Regardless of who Ginther is or how she is able to to pick ’em, Heith told the Caller Times that one thing was clear. “She’s obviously been born under a lucky star.” Prior to her death on April 12, 2024, she lived in Las Vegas, Nevada, and preferred to keep a low profile.
Sus
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 04:34:11 UTC No. 16299939
>>16299932
Joan Ginther is jewish
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 04:34:19 UTC No. 16299941
>>16299932
With enough knowledge of how the distribution works, it appears several people have been able to game the system.
https://www.inc.com/bill-murphy-jr/
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 06:44:26 UTC No. 16300029
its called being lucky and god made it to reward the faithful. read the literature
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 06:52:40 UTC No. 16300032
>>16299389
You can model the roulette table and gain advantage from the dealer + wear and tear on the wheel. Maybe the same goes for certain balls.
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 07:37:45 UTC No. 16300054
>>16300032
People have done this and gained an edge. It's why many casinos have added more baffles to the roulette table to make the ball path more difficult to predict.
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 11:04:04 UTC No. 16300212
>>16300032
Can we model the ping-pong ball draws too?
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 11:06:28 UTC No. 16300213
>>16300029
Idk
https://thehustle.co/the-man-who-wo
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 12:11:31 UTC No. 16300266
>>16300212
In theory, yes, in practice the system is too chaotic. What has happened in the past is that the balls were unfairly weighted. An outside auditor is now tasked with weighing all the balls before each drawing to ensure none are lighter than the rest, which gives them a higher probability of popping up into the hopper.
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 12:18:11 UTC No. 16300275
If 30 comes out twice, a 4, 6 or 8 is guaranteed on the third.
Hop hop Magoo
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 13:04:28 UTC No. 16300318
>>16299929
Illiterate homosexual, read an entire post before commenting like a some faggot who can't read.
>'ve done experiments to correct for the different rates of consumption of tickets as well with the same results. I've gone 10 or even 15 scratch off tickets in a row as losers in deep rural areas and never more than five losers before a small win in a bigger city. I've repeated this over and over with the same results as have others.
The stated odds of the $1 scratch off is about 1 in 5 are winners. It should have been statistically impossible to buy 15 $1 tickets in a row, all attached from the same stack, and have 15 losers in a row. Not a single dollar or free ticket win. I repeated this experiment in bigger cities (5000+) and never failed to win something every 5 tickets.
Please note, I'm autistic and I also studied Magic The Gathering booster boxes and used to map them for fun but for many reasons don't do it anymore. Reverse engineering systems like this is a hobby of mine and I'm telling you the lottery in my state is rigged. I don't want yo dox myself but the black neighborhood that has a disproportionate number of bug winners is also the home of a famous black started race riot.
When we examine the data in totality it points to one conclusion. The lottery is being used as back door reparations and a means to pacify violent inner city blacks. Think about it whites in rural areas buy tickets guaranteed to loose and the blacks buy lotto tickets much more likely to win. Over a long time line you get reparations of cash from white people to black people. It's not insane to suggest someone or some people inside the lotto are woke and hatched this plan to "give back to minority communities"
Like I said I did all the testing and observation myself. I'm convinced it's rigged and could care less what y'all believe.
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 13:05:27 UTC No. 16300319
>>16300318
Underway
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 13:12:05 UTC No. 16300323
>>16300318
>'ve done experiments to correct for the different rates of consumption of tickets as well with the same results. I've gone 10 or even 15 scratch off tickets in a row as losers in deep rural areas and never more than five losers before a small win in a bigger city. I've repeated this over and over with the same results as have others.
Write a research paper. Otherwise this is just anecdotal, ie useless.
>It should have been statistically impossible to buy 15 $1 tickets in a row, all attached from the same stack, and have 15 losers in a row.
(4/5)^15 = 3.5%. Unlikely by far from impossible. Don't go to Atlantic City with those odds.
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 13:18:13 UTC No. 16300332
>>16300323
*but
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 13:18:24 UTC No. 16300333
>>16300318
Sorry for the typos, need coffee.
It would be SO EASY for someone to do this and flood specific places with winner heavy scratch off cards and divert the losers to rural communities. It would be trivial to do and hide especially if the people running the lottery were doing it. A few lines of code is all it would take.
I don't know if I already mentioned this but they won't send all scratch offs to all areas of my state. You can check online to see which scratch off games in your state have the highest odds of winning. Meaning they track losing tickets sold vs winning tickets claimed. The more losers sold Vs winners unclaimed raises the possibility you will win when you buy the lottery card. HOWEVER, all the scratch off games weighted to the customer to win more were not for sale in my area. I looked in a 60 mile radius and didn't find ANY of the loose scratch offs! All the games available for sale in my rural area, and beyond, were the least likely to win. Where most or all the jackpots were already claimed.
For clarification I live across the state from the nigger lottery dumping grounds and it's such a bad area you'd be killed for being white before you got a chance to go there and buy a lottery ticket. It's literally a white person no-go zone and coincidentally the luckiest place to buy lottery tickets.
The lottery isn't random and it can't be or the winners would clump and ruin the game. I've also noticed a "token" big jackpot gets sent to the rural area once every month or two to keep the poors hooked. BUT ONLY EVERY ONE! THE LOTTO ISN'T RANDOM!
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 13:18:25 UTC No. 16300334
>>16299389
>How do some people win this several times in a row?
winning the lottery twice is as likely as the holocaust to have happened
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 13:28:14 UTC No. 16300343
>>16300323
If I write a research paper on how powerful rich people rig the lottery they send men to kill me in my sleep and make it look like a home invasion or just run me off the road one day. How stupid are you Senpai? How sad for you, sticking up for a crooked rigged lottery.
It's impossible to pull 15 losing tickets in a row. They are printed on a computer via algorithm. They aren't purely random like your mathematical example. They are PROGRAMMED to print a winner ever 5.2 tickets or so. If it was as random as you say the game would break. SAME WITH MAGIC THE GATHERING BOOSTER BOXES!!! Both MTG booster packs and Lotto scratch offs CAN NOT BE TRULY RANDOM or the game breaks. Simple as. So no, 15 losers in a row is impossible unless the algorithm made it so. AKA boxes with horrible odds(1 in 20) get printed and sent to rural communities and boxes with normal odds(1 in 5) get printed and sent to inner city niggers. It's such an easy and powerful scam to run why wouldn't the elites rig the lottery?
Lottery is a black box problem and everything I see points to the conclusion that it's rigged. Sorry, not changing my mind. Just hoping some other autists have done similar and want to share their data with me.
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 13:33:19 UTC No. 16300353
>>16300343
You sound like you're just mad you haven't won the mega millions yet.
Here's a piece of advice for you: Lotto scratch-offs are a bad investment. They are definitely rigged, but in the way you think they are.
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 13:39:59 UTC No. 16300362
>>16300343
Yeah, the op agrees. Fucking hate this nonsense system
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 14:28:17 UTC No. 16300416
>>16299389
It's because the odds of winning a lottery are independent of each other. Winning one lottery doesn't change the odds of winning the next.
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 16:23:36 UTC No. 16300503
>>16300318
>>The stated odds of the $1 scratch off is about 1 in 5 are winners. It should have been statistically impossible to buy 15 $1 tickets in a row, all attached from the same stack, and have 15 losers in a row.
That is not how statistics works.
Anonymous at Sun, 28 Jul 2024 19:49:22 UTC No. 16300781
>>16299927
So I think the real probability of winning is 1/2. Either you win or you don't.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 04:45:14 UTC No. 16301415
it would take more computating power to model such than to actually simulate the universe
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 06:07:04 UTC No. 16301482
>>16300353
>Lotto scratch-offs are a bad investment
You're even dumber than he is. The value of money is discounted with age. Its utility becomes lower and ultimately ZERO upon death. Gray hair. Baldness. No family. Wow heckin le retirement maxing investerinooos. All investing advice ignores the major problems of aging and death. A million dollars at age 60 is nothing and would be too little too late. Wouldn't care about that and would need to work until that ridiculous age or longer just to have a pittance of dividends and interest as a consolation prize. If money is to become worthless anyways and a windfall large enough to result in a infinite quality of life allowing an exit from working, then its a very sound risk tantamount to reverse insurance for a (much) better life. To maximize the possibility of this, it actually makes sense to buy as many as possible.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 11:06:30 UTC No. 16301655
>>16299445
>If NO ONE did then I would know it was rigged.
>>16299450
>How come?
How does the lotto know who won before?
It would be rigged if it did.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 11:34:14 UTC No. 16301677
>>16299389
It's just PRNG, not RNG, and you can probably reverse engeneer it, I had it once guessing numbers that'll get some $10 of it each time I bet but I forgot disk encryption password.
Other time I calculated number from pub lottery when I needed a hit of heroin for a friend.
It was pure calculation, and I won money for a hit.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 12:55:37 UTC No. 16301748
>>16301482
No that's stupid.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 14:11:39 UTC No. 16301832
>>16299445
We've got 3 lotto's in state. I bet all 3 at once, suddenly even my program knew it guessed 0 correct at that time, even thou it didn't had such failure before.
It's rigged.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 14:16:51 UTC No. 16301835
Long story short:
If you attempt to calculate number from previous numbers, you see something: Probability is that you get 17.3 or somewhere like that numbers correct, but some calculations yield 30% some 3%, then you have some solid basis for making predictions.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 14:18:58 UTC No. 16301837
>>16301748
Elaborate or you do not have an argument, making you the smoothbrain in this situation.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 14:20:15 UTC No. 16301838
>>16301837
It's simple, you must buy winning sratch card, they are more expensive than regular ones, and you must have some soft social skills to buy those.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 14:22:04 UTC No. 16301840
>>16301837
It's stupid for reasons that are obvious to anyone. Including you.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 14:30:34 UTC No. 16301849
>>16301677
Lotto tickets cannot be strictly prng or even rng. If they were, all it would take is a statistical fluke to print more mega million tickets than expected and the entire system bankrupts. Obviously there are stopgaps put in place to control how many winning tickets exist. At that point, all one needs to do is ask whether it's better to design some rng program which has dozens of conditional if loops to control these stopgaps, or if they instead print a winning ticket every x numbers. The latter is verified to be the one that exists given mathematicians privy to the algorithms used reverse engineered which lottery ticket is the mega millions winner, implying that the ticket was guaranteed to be printed with a specific serial number and not strictly randomly generated.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 14:33:35 UTC No. 16301851
>>16301849
You still think some monkey counts it up?
Computer can very quickly evade numbers that's been already bet. Very quickly.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 14:34:44 UTC No. 16301853
>>16301840
Alleged certainty fallacy.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 14:35:34 UTC No. 16301854
>>16301851
The fuck are you talking about? I'm talking about scratch offs, illiterate dimwit
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 14:48:19 UTC No. 16301867
Best scratch off game ever was for the McDonald's Olympics promotion in 1984. You would scratch off to reveal an Olympic event. If the US won a gold, you'd get a free Big Mac. Silver = free fries. Bronze = free soft drink.
The odds of winning changed significantly when the Soviet Union and most of the Warsaw Pact boycotted the games, leaving the US to win far more competitions than McDonald's expected.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 14:50:50 UTC No. 16301870
>>16301854
Scratch card is not a lotto ticket.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 15:03:00 UTC No. 16301880
>>16301853
Not alleged. But on the off chance you're serious, go ahead and throw all your money into the lottery, see if anyone cares.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 15:11:15 UTC No. 16301892
>>16299389
> win this several times in a row
LMAO, that has nothing to do with Math.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 15:17:30 UTC No. 16301900
>>16301870
>Scratchcards are physical tickets with unique serial numbers
>Scratchcards are part of the state and federal lottery
>Scratchcards are not lottery tickets
Ok buddy
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 15:26:18 UTC No. 16301904
>>16301900
lotto is one (1) specific lottery.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 15:26:59 UTC No. 16301906
>>16301880
It is fallacious because you said it was obvious because everyone knows it's stupid. You refused to address the point of temporal discounting which makes risks entirely justifiable because even total losses are meaningless if you ascribe no or negative value to life after a certain point negating any better use for or opportunity cost of having made that risk.
🗑️ Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 15:49:26 UTC No. 16301924
>>16301906
>It is fallacious because you said it was obvious because everyone knows it's stupid.
Who is this fabled "everyone"?
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 15:55:11 UTC No. 16301931
>>16301906
>you're gonna die one day so you may as well piss away all of your money gambling
You do that. Enjoy living in the Vegas sewers with all the other degenerates who share your philosophy. I'll be in The Villages sipping Piña Coladas coasting off my "investmenterinooos."
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 15:59:13 UTC No. 16301937
>>16301924
That was referring to this post. >>16301840
>It's stupid for reasons that are obvious to anyone.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 16:04:44 UTC No. 16301941
>>16299389
by cheating,
see https://medium.com/@nathanielhebert
and >>16299402
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 16:13:37 UTC No. 16301954
>>16301931
If I am not rich enough to have a family and not need to work in another 5 years I don't care. I would rather not exist than work the rest of my life and be heckin responsible. Don't care about being single in a retirement village sipping on drinks as a cope with a dementia ridden brain in my 60s alone.
The comparison is faulty too. The subjects you defined are subject to operant conditioning where they are satisfied on occasion with a small win and are incentived again after that.
Anonymous at Mon, 29 Jul 2024 16:19:47 UTC No. 16301964
>>16301954
Have a lot of fun.
Anonymous at Tue, 30 Jul 2024 20:53:24 UTC No. 16303692
Bump