🗑️ 🧵 All probabilities are 50/50
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 03:34:25 UTC No. 16373632
Either it happens or it doesn’t
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 03:38:26 UTC No. 16373637
I also thought this. We'll see.
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 03:45:54 UTC No. 16373651
You could also say all events have 100% chance of happening because everything happens (for things that don’t happen, the “not happening” occurs).
This makes more sense with determinism. Either tomorrow you die or you do not die. There is a 100% chance that you will meet your fate one way or another, whether it is to live or die tomorrow. What WILL happen definitionally has a 100% chance of happening.
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 05:53:31 UTC No. 16373754
>>16373632
But some probabilities are subsets of other probabilities. If there's a 50/50 chance I eat a cookie, there can't very well be a 50/50 chance I eat a second cookie, because it's hinging on that previous do or don't. Furthermore, it seems like eating half the expected cookies is a distinct outcome from eating none of the two cookies or both of the two cookies.
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 05:59:03 UTC No. 16373764
>>16373632
We live in a universe where it didn't happen that all probabilities are 50/50.
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 10:06:09 UTC No. 16373958
>>16373632
All probabilities are 100%. Less than 100% means we lack all the necessary information.
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 10:59:28 UTC No. 16374012
Actually this is true.
Let's say you have a coin with two identical sides: head. Now there's a 100% chance of getting head, 50% chance of getting either head.
Now lets bias the coin so that it lands more often on one of the heads, let's say 75/25.
The chance of getting a head is still 100%. Now you will get head A more often than B, but it has precisely 50% more chance of happening. Therefore it's still 50/50. You can extend this logic easily.
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 13:01:28 UTC No. 16374158
>>16374012
I sense a flaw with your logic
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 13:04:38 UTC No. 16374162
>>16373632
This is just not true
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 16:05:09 UTC No. 16374406
>>16374158
It's either less than the expected value or it's greater than the expected value. 50/50. Something either happens or doesn't happen.
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 16:24:55 UTC No. 16374442
>>16373632
>>16373651
Events are 100% dualistic
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 16:37:52 UTC No. 16374482
>>16373632
>roll a dice
>50% chance of it rolling a 1
>50% chance of it rolling a 2
>50% chance of it rolling a 3
>50% chance of it rolling a 4
>50% chance of it rolling a 5
>50% chance of it rolling a 6
>300% chance of it rolling some number
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 16:42:50 UTC No. 16374492
>>16374482
yes, either it doesn't happen or it happens trice
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 16:51:40 UTC No. 16374509
>>16374482
>roll a dice, 50% chance of getting 1-3, 50% chance of getting 4-6
>50% chance of getting 1-2 or 2-3
50 all the way
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 22:30:03 UTC No. 16375017
>>16374012
This you?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Brp
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 22:42:01 UTC No. 16375048
>>16373632
hold up. so If I were to pick a probability at random, is there a 100% chance that it is 50% or is it a 50% chance?
Anonymous at Wed, 11 Sep 2024 23:16:02 UTC No. 16375106
>>16373632
No, it's all 1, everything happens.
Anonymous at Thu, 12 Sep 2024 08:41:52 UTC No. 16375746
>>16373632
>All probabilities
An illusion: only the present moment is verified to exist, therefore there is only 100% probability, always.
Anonymous at Thu, 12 Sep 2024 10:06:03 UTC No. 16375952
>>16373632
i can't even find this funny
normalfags unironically think like this
Anonymous at Thu, 12 Sep 2024 10:32:23 UTC No. 16376123
>>16375952
Well how is it wrong?
Can you prove that it isnt 50% and you just didnt got a weird sequence? All you can do is provide some estimate
Anonymous at Fri, 13 Sep 2024 19:45:00 UTC No. 16379047
>>16375952
I had a family member that was a math Phd, yes 6 figures, starting. He was doing testing on computer equipment for the government and he determined that the computers had a 50% chance of failing to start up on boot. Can any dusty crusties confirm?
Anonymous at Fri, 13 Sep 2024 20:04:22 UTC No. 16379075
>>16374482
No, 50% chance of rolling some number. Either it rolls a number or it doesn’t
Anonymous at Fri, 13 Sep 2024 20:16:52 UTC No. 16379094
>>16373632
You've confused possibility with probability. There's either a million dollars under my bed placed by a generous billionaire or there isn't. However, I'd hardly call that a 50/50 chance. Dumbass.
Anonymous at Fri, 13 Sep 2024 20:23:34 UTC No. 16379105
>>16373632
False, things that happen are always 100 and things that don't is retards living in the past