🧵 Untitled Thread
Anonymous at Mon, 11 Nov 2024 16:37:25 UTC No. 16470948
>uhh… actually you have to switch to door #2 because the fact that the host opened door #3 means that there’s a higher likelihood the car was behind door #2.
Fucking what??
Anonymous at Mon, 11 Nov 2024 16:42:39 UTC No. 16470954
a goat is the gift that keeps on giving
Anonymous at Mon, 11 Nov 2024 16:51:15 UTC No. 16470970
>>16470948
The host only ever opens a door with a goat
Now think about it really hard or go look for any one of the thousands of explanations easily availably online you fucking retard
Anonymous at Mon, 11 Nov 2024 16:51:42 UTC No. 16470972
>>16470948
What are conditional probabilities, Ken?
Work through it yourself first and then ask your questions.
Pro-tip: You won't. You can't. You troll.
Anonymous at Mon, 11 Nov 2024 17:06:39 UTC No. 16471007
>>16470970
>>16470972
Damn that actually made me really sad. Sorry.
Anonymous at Mon, 11 Nov 2024 18:13:46 UTC No. 16471097
>>16470970
>The host only ever opens a door with a goat
Then the probability of car and goat on the remaining two should be 1/2, 1/2.
Anonymous at Mon, 11 Nov 2024 19:39:07 UTC No. 16471168
>>16470948
This thread again. Every few weeks. You're a pied piper.
Anonymous at Mon, 11 Nov 2024 20:05:48 UTC No. 16471188
>>16471097
The likelihood you picked wrong at the start was 2/3 you only get 50/50 if you switch
Anonymous at Mon, 11 Nov 2024 20:14:44 UTC No. 16471195
>>16470948
>Fucking what??
He knows where the car is and is avoiding it.
Anonymous at Mon, 11 Nov 2024 22:02:02 UTC No. 16471302
>>16471188
Since the presenter always chooses goat like you said, that door doesn't count since the beginning.
Anonymous at Tue, 12 Nov 2024 00:04:12 UTC No. 16471422
You switching the door and winning is the mathematical truth nuke never to trust the host of a show you're on.
Anonymous at Tue, 12 Nov 2024 00:12:39 UTC No. 16471431
>>16470948
ah but the game show host knows the optimum strategy is to swiitch! What percentage of the time must the game show host move the goat to behind your first selected curtain to curtail any switching advantage?
Anonymous at Tue, 12 Nov 2024 06:39:30 UTC No. 16471722
>>16470948
you cracked it, op. it's a psyop. a way to sort the bots from the dangerous thinkers.
had you all fooled up till now, didn't we.
Anonymous at Tue, 12 Nov 2024 08:47:39 UTC No. 16471782
>>16471431
>move the goat
that's cheating
Anonymous at Tue, 12 Nov 2024 09:54:03 UTC No. 16471807
>>16470948
it doesn't matter because you only play 1 game and then leave the show