Image not available

906x388

scaling.jpg

đŸ§” Untitled Thread

Anonymous No. 16635265

This is the most important graph in the world. If you understand it, you know what's coming.

Image not available

1170x1038

14353071-7693-438....jpg

Anonymous No. 16635271

>>16635265
Wrong.

Image not available

1170x1170

nothing.jpg

Anonymous No. 16635274

>>16635271

Anonymous No. 16635289

>>16635271
>>16635274
>There is, however, a certain tone of voice the bien pensant all speak in, whose sound is the same whether right or wrong; a tone shared with many statements in January to March of this year; a tone we can also find in a 1940 Scientific American article authoritatively titled, “Don’t Worry—It Can’t Happen”, which advised the reader to not be concerned about it any longer “and get sleep”. (‘It’ was the atomic bomb, about which certain scientists had stopped talking, raising public concerns; not only could it happen, the British bomb project had already begun, and 5 years later it did happen.)

Anonymous No. 16635348

>>16635271
The X and Y axes on both of those graphs are backwards.

Anonymous No. 16635629

>>16635265
>if we raise computing exponentially, suddenly the exponential performance is linear!

Anonymous No. 16636191

>>16635629
If you just give this more computing power it gets better. It's ridiculous. It's ridiculous because it fucking works. It should not work as well as it does, but it does.

This means that AGI is no longer a theoretical problem, but an engineering problem.

Anonymous No. 16636195

>>16636191
it doesn't actually work b/c retards don't understand a basic principle of information theory: the data processing inequality

Anonymous No. 16636199

>>16636195
>It doesn't actually work because because because
The models keep getting better. They just continue improving. Scaling *works,* denying that at this point is just pure cope. The question isn't "does scaling work" anymore, it's "is scaling to AGI practically feasible." The answer to that seems to be yes, as long as the Taiwan tariffs are rolled back.

Anonymous No. 16636206

>>16635265
Yes, diminishing returns as we fail to create a form of reasoning distinct from our own.

Anonymous No. 16636339

>>16636199
Wrong