Image not available

1504x829

IMG_4230.jpg

🧵 /sfg/ - Spaceflight General

Anonymous No. 16206969

Scroobed Edition

Previous - >>16204362

Anonymous No. 16206975

>"spaceflight" sfg
aw yea

Image not available

1280x720

columbia wheelie.webm

Anonymous No. 16206979

first for shuttle

Image not available

600x599

1428958379461.png

Anonymous No. 16206982

first for AbortX

Image not available

578x465

1688496609525231.jpg

Anonymous No. 16206984

I am skeptical of the feasibility of Mars colonization using Starship (or any other foreseeable rocket.) So I asked the chatbot to steelman the premise and explain how it might work.

Did the bot do well? Can you do better?
(1/2)

Image not available

864x4003

1693832270636851.png

Anonymous No. 16206985

>>16206984
(2/2)
The chatbot's response.

Anonymous No. 16206986

posting bot replies is worse than actual bot replies

Anonymous No. 16206988

>>16206984
In 2030 $500B is going to be just enough to doordash yourself a big mac

Anonymous No. 16206990

>>16206986
Really I'm interested in human answers from /sfg/. I'm using the bot response merely as a baseline. Particularly, I think the bot skimped on the details of economic sustainability. I'd like to know if anybody here can do much better than it.

Anonymous No. 16206992

>>16206988
Given the cheap nature of Starship I felt 500 billion was generous, but feel free to substitute what you feel to be a reasonable amount of money.

Anonymous No. 16206993

>>16206988
So true bestie!

Anonymous No. 16206995

it is a complicated issue that is tenuously answered in a 900-page pdf, not 3-paragraphs. It is perhaps the most complicated problem humanity has ever faced.

Anonymous No. 16206999

>>16206995
Can you at least give me a high level overview of how a sustainable Mars colony economy might work? I take for granted that a huge quantity of money might be used to bootstrap the colony, but after that runs out the colony needs to either be FULLY self-sufficient or have income of Earth currency for trade with Earth. How could either of those work?

Anonymous No. 16207004

They'll use the distance from prying eyes to develop super viruses and threaten to deploy them against Earthers if the ransom is not paid.

Anonymous No. 16207008

>>16206985
all of those budget allocation numbers are pulled out of thin air and need to be ignored. that said, it's borderline insanity to think that you could economically export minerals and manufactured goods from mars back to earth without some major technological breakthroughs. raw materials are too heavy and there's nothing you could make on mars that couldn't be made here. the closest you're going to come to sustainability in the foreseeable future is getting some ISS-style budget carveout for a surface base where it gets $5 billion a year just because.

Anonymous No. 16207015

>>16207004
You are eating shit. There is shit in your mouth you shiteating dog

Anonymous No. 16207018

>>16207008
You could export methalox to LEO depots, cheaper than launching painfully a cupful at a time from Earth

Anonymous No. 16207022

>>16207008
Mining off-world resources is going to require us hitting a resource shortage that we can't get around by unlocking a new terrestrial source or devising a more available replacement

Anonymous No. 16207023

>>16207018
Methalox from Mars to LEO is cheaper than from Earth to LEO? That's a surprising claim. I know getting to Martian orbit from Mars is much cheaper than getting to LEO from Earth, but then you've got to get to Earth and into LEO. Do you aerobrake your huge tank of Methalox at Earth to get into orbit?

Anonymous No. 16207024

>>16207023
Plasma magnet solves this

Anonymous No. 16207031

This whole economic viability thing really makes you realise why Artemis is fcusing on the Moon Even makingthe moon viable is a total fantasy whichwont happen, but it's far closer than making Mars economically viable. For example it takes significantly less delta v to get from the Lunar surface to low earth orbit than from earth to low earth orbit. But even still you hae to actually go from LEO to lunar surface to LEO to export anyting fromthe moon rather than just to LEO

Image not available

990x569

1566692006170.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207048

>>16206985
Good plan, let's go with it.

Anonymous No. 16207054

>>16207048
Huge amounts of handwaiving in the middle of this photo

Anonymous No. 16207057

>>16207018
Not really when you can only launch every 20 months and have to build out huge infrastructure with giganiggawatts of solar panels and shit. Methane here is practically free and you can launch into LEO whenever.

Anonymous No. 16207059

>>16206979
Shuttle orbiter was the coolest looking spacecraft and coolest looking aircraft at once. would have been even cooler if the program was a sucess and the orbiters had thousands of flights ranging from construction of mega stations in space to carrying school classes in the sortie can. Oh what could have been. We will look on Starship in three same way in the future.

Anonymous No. 16207063

Mars bases will never advance beyond antarctic research bases in your lifetime our your grandchildren's lifetime, and that's ok.

Anonymous No. 16207124

>>16206999
Unfortunately the economics don't work at all. You won't be exporting anything for a century or more. You basically just have to pray that an autistic billionaire's normal grandson cares about the largest net drain on his company. There's a future where they send a rescue mission to mars because it's cheaper to bring everyone back than to keep sending supplies. I suspect this is why Elon is focusing so hard on the "self sustaining" part. But yeah, no exports, no money.

Anonymous No. 16207130

I for one welcome our Chinese overlords who will colonize the planets before us

Anonymous No. 16207131

>>16207048
>step 1: go visit
>step 2: warp the solar system to your whims and rain fire upon God's mistake
>step 3:
>step 4: plant some flowers :)

Anonymous No. 16207134

>>16207063
shut up doomer

Anonymous No. 16207137

>>16207124
Not true. Thinking of a mars colony as a third world nation with only unprocessed raw materials as a possible export is stupid. Novel research and development of mars habitability will result in licenseable technologies.

Anonymous No. 16207146

>>16207124
a mars colony could export rocks and people would pay a ton for them because it's from Mars. You're thinking like a 45 year old middle class white guy. You're forgetting that there are people that pay $4000 for ugly sneakers

Anonymous No. 16207151

>>16206990
fuck offfff

Anonymous No. 16207159

>>16206999
you dig a hole and live in it
use enormous quantities of solar panels to crack ice into hydrogen/oxygen and combine that with atmospheric CO2 to make methalox propellant
use the leftover power to grow crops in aquaponics/aeroponics and filter your farm water through tilapia and crabs which you eat for food
that and chickens for eggs and meat
add infrastructure such as metal making later
now fuck off

if you're worried about food you can ship multiple peoples worth of storable food for a synod in a Starship and feed people that way

Anonymous No. 16207169

>>16207159
You don't need to dig underground, a canyon base is good enough

Anonymous No. 16207172

>>16207169
it's hard to land near canyons though, making your own canyon is better

Anonymous No. 16207173

maybe the real mars colony was the friends we made along they way

Anonymous No. 16207174

>>16207172
>it's hard to land near canyons though
It will be hard to land anyways. Starship is very tall. Git gud

Anonymous No. 16207183

>demo of nuclear thermal engine this decade
Can I see some of the recent static fires?

Anonymous No. 16207186

>>16207124
>muh economics of mars
Mars will be colonized one day and it's only a matter of time and in the distant future it will be terraformed to become Earth like.
The importance of getting there first and forming a strategic command point is of of paramount importance.

a terraformed mars will be insanely good for many reasons;
>low gravity making space flight way easier
>low gravity making building easier
>easier to travel to the gas giants
>potential to harvest Phobos and Deimos to build giant space station and ships

Anonymous No. 16207187

>>16207008
I also immediately though mining on Mars to send to Earth was gay and retarded
it might be cheaper to mine materials on Mars for use in space, though, since there's both lower gravity and less atmosphere

Anonymous No. 16207199

>>16206975
That's how you know we have a serious thread

Anonymous No. 16207200

>>16207186
>a terraformed mars
A retarded waste of time and resources you mean. We'd be better off building a fucking Halo ring. Instead of spending literal centuries of industrial effort to get a Martian atmosphere thick enough to go outside without a pressure suit (forget breathing lmao), you could settle the entire solar system and build dozens or hundred of O'Neil Cylinders, and maybe even chuck a few of them out of the solar system.

Anonymous No. 16207201

>>16206979
I wish the shuttle had done more landing sites.

Anonymous No. 16207202

>>16207200
>but but you can make thousands of pods for the cost of one mansion!
but people still build mansions don't they

Anonymous No. 16207203

>>16206990
You're so hopelessly retarded it boggles the mind

Anonymous No. 16207214

>>16207203
AI in general seems to attract very stupid people for whatever reason

Anonymous No. 16207220

>>16207130
Wait 'til they build lunar tunnel network then pump in Raid.

Anonymous No. 16207221

>>16207214
it’s sort of like VR. Just as gimmicky, but it has way more outreach to the general public. It feels like a fad more than anything; everyone wants to throw the word “AI” into their business model now because it’s trendy.
And stupid people try to “follow” it and act like they are smart or something. E.g.
>dude I tried out the new GTP4.0-zeta quadrant algorithm on this little program of mine. Yeah, wrote it in python myself. Well, at least a friend of mine on discord did it for me. Yeah dude it basically trains itself to compile my homework dude. Oh yeah bro this is like 138% more powerful than the last generation GTP3.2 poindexter algorithm. It’s becoming sentient. Hold up let me finish my onions.

Image not available

1184x506

00roose-mobileMas....png

Anonymous No. 16207241

>>16207221
john carmack is our only hope for sentient ai. sadly muh GPUs+LLMs=AI these days

Anonymous No. 16207247

>>16206990
AI is just a machine for blowing smoke up your ass.

Anonymous No. 16207249

>>16207247
How about I blow loads up your ass huh?

Anonymous No. 16207251

>>16207249
gey

Anonymous No. 16207254

There will be no gay people allowed on Mars.

Anonymous No. 16207258

>>16207254
You can be gay but you still have to fuck your designated wife and make her pregnant once a Martian year.

Anonymous No. 16207293

>>16207137
>>16207146
Speciality technologies and luxury goods aren't really enough to build a functioning economy around, unless you really do want it to be only antarctic base-sized.

Anonymous No. 16207296

>>16207293
Well shit guess the first world may as well shrivel up and die then.

Anonymous No. 16207300

>>16207293
They are enough to bootstrap a colony. Once enough people are there, an internal economy is all you need. Not really sure why everyone pretends mars needs to mass export shit to earth because in reality it's not practical anyway beyond small weight/volume high value goods.

Anonymous No. 16207303

>>16207300
Pharmaceuticals are still a major hurdle.

Anonymous No. 16207306

>>16207303
Like electronics, they are small and light mass items. Import costs will be super cheap.

Anonymous No. 16207315

Just sell gold, unironically. It's a whole fucking untouched planet, there must be dozens of absolutely premium quality super rich gold deposits. On earth today we are practically picking at the dregs of what 4000 years of civilisation missed and its still massively profitable. If you can't make money exporting a product that retails for 75,000 dollars a kilo then you aren't going to make money exporting anything.

Anonymous No. 16207324

>>16207293
the will also have their own economy. It's a colony not an oil rig

Anonymous No. 16207326

>>16207293
you're also forgetting entertainment products

Image not available

2048x1152

GPIAPhcW8AA7bSm.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207359

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1797499471632519491
>Starship is ready to fly

Anonymous No. 16207363

>>16207303
Starlink profits would keep those exports going indefinitely probably

Image not available

2048x1152

GPIAPhcWcAACRpU.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207409

>>16207359

Image not available

2048x1152

GPIAPhbXAAAZlhY.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207415

>>16207409

Image not available

1534x2048

GPIAPhbWwAAljAQ.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207416

>>16207415

Anonymous No. 16207427

>>16207363
>>16207303
and one thing that just came to mind, you could have martians working remote for companies on earth
its so obvious but somehow didn't think about it before
the martian population would be extremely intelligent compared to the population on earth due to filtering effects
I mean you could even have people starting and running companies on earth from Mars
boot strapping the colony is going to take a lot of capital, getting basic resource production is going to take a lot of capital etc but after the largest items are done then you would have an internal economy and basically export intellectual labor, research, entertainment, maybe the colony owned some big companies through the musk foundation and would just get money through dividends from ownership
so even if you couldn't manufacture stuff like pharmaceuticals and microchips for a while and truly be completely self-sufficient I don't think there would really be a risk of the colony ending due to that
too much momentum and too many ways for the colonists to basically buy the few items they need from earth

how much is it going to cost to land mass on mars? Musk talks about there being a 5 to 1 ratio between mass to leo and mass to mars surface and starship mass to leo is something between 20-200 $/kg to LEO, 5-10x from LEO to Mars + you need to amortize the Mars ship (50-100mil extra?) and it will give you 50-150 tonnes to mars surface. i.e 0.333..-2 mil/tonne = 333-2000 $/kg

so overall the cost to get a kilogram of something to mars with starship with these assumptions is 100-1000 $/kg + 333-2000 $/kg = 433 - 3000 $/kg or 0.43 - 3 $/g

I'm not sure about how much drugs or microchips cost per gram (and too lazy to google it) but if I had to guess it would be more than 10x in most cases, so these items wouldn't really even cost that much more on Mars than Earth and then you could buy food, water, oxygen, steel etc from an internal mars market

Anonymous No. 16207429

>>16207427
so just manufacture cocaine on mars?

Anonymous No. 16207433

>>16207221
>it’s sort of like VR. Just as gimmicky, but it has way more outreach to the general public. It feels like a fad more than anything; everyone wants to throw the word “AI” into their business model now because it’s trendy.
>And stupid people try to “follow” it and act like they are smart or something. E.g.
Yeah I notice a lot of normies talking about AI these day which is why I avoid the topic.

Image not available

850x353

Cost-per-ton-mile....png

Anonymous No. 16207435

>>16207427
>100-1000 $/kg + 333-2000 $/kg = 433 - 3000 $/kg or 0.43 - 3 $/g
made a slight mistake the top is 1000 $/kg more but still the same order of magnitude (3 vs 4 as worst case is still very cheap for high-density/high-cost items like drugs + microchips)
to put this into perspective, gold costs about 70$/g now, so even with the worst case assumptions (which I guess you would argue are optimistic still if you want), so buying gold on mars from earth wouldn't be that much more expensive (if its shipped in bulk) than buying it on earth, only like 5%

buying something like a bottle of water would cost 1000x more though

Image not available

696x992

Alyssa_Carson_in_....jpg

Anonymous No. 16207453

It annoys me more than it should that this chick just decided to be "the first person to go to mars"... it's just because I said so, ok!?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alyssa_Carson

Anonymous No. 16207500

>>16207453
NASA has publicly stated she is not affiliated with NASA or any space program

Image not available

672x981

010799.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207517

https://x.com/_mgde_/status/1797389262523904011

Image not available

965x1185

010800.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207519

>>16207517

Image not available

800x400

Captura-de-pantal....png

Anonymous No. 16207520

>>16207500
Still doesn't stop her larping.

Image not available

962x1085

010801.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207521

>>16207519

Anonymous No. 16207523

the cosmic perspective video is extremely kino btw, I recommend it

Anonymous No. 16207525

>>16207453
this is the sort of thing the parents decide

Anonymous No. 16207529

>>16207173
But anon we didn't make any friends along the way?

Image not available

589x495

1690654421944067.png

Anonymous No. 16207530

Holy shit, SpaceX is dumping perlite on soil
https://x.com/BocasBrain/status/1797397805931102381

Image not available

378x246

010802.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207531

>>16207530
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Perlite
perlite is just hydrated volcanic glass. i.e a rock

Anonymous No. 16207532

>>16207531
it's over

Image not available

587x620

1700920488802387.png

Anonymous No. 16207539

So they are planning to launch with missing tiles. Expect fiery, but mostly peaceful reentry.
https://x.com/ScottLikesSLS/status/1797514538369286213

Anonymous No. 16207543

>>16207539
so left out tiles on purpose and then put a shitload of instruments around it to characterize what happens to the steel at re-entry

Anonymous No. 16207556

>>16207539
elon doesn't understand that you can't just paint steel tile-colored and expect it to work like a tile

Anonymous No. 16207565

>>16207517
>shortened chopsticks
Why?

Anonymous No. 16207567

>>16207565
Smaller bending moment.

Anonymous No. 16207571

>>16207556
But what if you can.

Boo-ker No. 16207573

>>16207571
Whatever hell you bring upon me illegally will be laughed through and sub served, you owe 100* more at death and a other person will collect your bounty within 10 years. This mark will never leave you. On the topic of my hell, because it was made illegally, it will be short-lived and imperfect. There'll be no submission to you - when I'm not busy anymore I'll fight you. One day you will suffer my harshunt hell, and I will send you to your 1000s of years.

Anonymous No. 16207574

>>16207539
This tile situation is such a shitshow. Just take the mass loss on bringing extra Methane and transpiration cool it again for fucks sake. I'm sure they will go back to it anyway and we will get a tweet like

>Getting rid of tiles, too much complexity, risk and difficulty of uniform installations
>best part is no part and we just got rid of 5000 parts!

Anonymous No. 16207575

>>16207571
then nasa's gonna feel really silly for never trying it with shuttle

Boo-ker No. 16207576

>>16207571
I don't remember much - but it seems as if I had you in the past. Maybe twice. Maybe thrice.

Anonymous No. 16207578

>>16207574
do you have any idea how many valves you'd need to do sweaty starship?

Boo-ker No. 16207580

>>16207571
Oh spiffing. This is great news. I am so comfortable.

Anonymous No. 16207581

>>16207574
how much mass would you really save though?

Anonymous No. 16207585

>>16207571
if that's the case, they should paint the rocket red so it goes faster, and maybe add more dakka.

>>16207573
>>16207576
>>16207580
why did you reply to the same post three times?

Anonymous No. 16207592

>>16207578
One, off or on. Call it a couple in parallel for redundancy. Don't see why you would need valves for every single cooling channel or whatever.

>>16207581
Who knows, but those thousands of tiles, pins and thermal blanket plus the extra supporting stringers inside the tank to carry the weight already weigh an absolute shitload. If the vehicle can't survive a single tile out then this shit is dead on arrival anyway. Also how can you 100% QA a gorillion tiles on a rapidly reusable vehicle in any kind of timely of cost effective manner? I'm 100% this is going to be one of Elons "big regret, wasted time" tweets.

🗑️ Boo-ker No. 16207595

>>16207592
>>16207585
*dog fart*

Boo-ker No. 16207597

>>16207595
The perfect compliment to this thread and it's pseudo-intellectuals

Anonymous No. 16207598

>>16207592
>Also how can you 100% QA a gorillion tiles on a rapidly reusable vehicle in any kind of timely of cost effective manner?
special purpose robot that inspects the tiles, or a bunch of them

Boo-ker No. 16207605

I suck massive horse cock by the way, love when it squirts its huge hot load inside my mouth, mmmm so yummy ;)

Image not available

800x507

1682089198221925.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207607

Give it to me straight: What are the odds it actually launches on June 6? All of the previous launches always scrubbed to the next day.

Anonymous No. 16207609

>>16207607
neither ift-2 nor ift-3 had a scrub

Anonymous No. 16207610

>>16207571
Then wet-wing stainless steel SSTO spaceplanes are back on the menu.

Anonymous No. 16207613

>>16207607
youre dumb bro

Anonymous No. 16207618

>>16207530
I strongly oppose the dumping of perlite

Anonymous No. 16207621

>>16207124
>>16207137
I'm not saying it shouldn't happen, it should happen but exports are prohibitively expensive. Earth has an entire supply chain coated in atmosphere teeming with available labor. That's before shipping. Mars can not compete with that until conditions are similar. The economics won't make sense for a century or more.
>>16207146
I've spent about $5k on my home museum, but how big is the red rock market really? Or extra tall Mars weed for rappers? There's no way it's even within the same order of magnitude of one year of Mars base operating cost.

Anonymous No. 16207624

>>16207186
Obviously it will and it should retard, I was replying to a post specifically asking about the economics. Otherwise yeah I agree, the best case scenario is one where the US gov realizes the strategic importance of a city full of scientists six months out of nuking range

Boo-ker No. 16207625

>>16207621
>but how big is the red rock market really?

Y'all got 0 business acumen. I could sell a few grams of Martian sand in a little glass vial on a necklace for $300 bucks by the tens of thousands every day all day long. Hell I would buy one.

Anonymous No. 16207628

>>16207187
Probably not for a very long time. It may be more efficient but Earth would still be much cheaper

Anonymous No. 16207633

>>16207625
Sell it to a million people and you break even on shipping it back

Boo-ker No. 16207636

>>16207633
300 mil to launch one starship from Mars? What are you fuelling it with? Liquid gold? Infrastructure costs for fuel production will have to be fronted anyway or Mars isn't happening and expansions of capacity can be amortised over hundreds/thousands of launches.

Anonymous No. 16207637

>>16207315
Think about the equipment you'd need to ship there, the conditions the labor would be in, the chemical processes, and shipping it back. Even gold is questionable.

Anonymous No. 16207645

>>16207636
For ISRU it depends on the timeline. I strongly suspect that as we get closer to it actually happening, they'll realize the easiest short term answer is just sending a couple of Starships loaded with fuel only. A couple to land to refuel to get to orbit, and maybe a couple orbital depots. How many ships would you really need to send just one back? How many refueling flights would you need back on Earth to get each one there? Also, we're talking about an amount of money to make it worth the effort. I just don't see it.
I want the base to happen, but it won't be like the Americas where you can just ship tobacco back. At some point you run out of tube of dust enthusiasts and you stop being able to enforce intellectual property through six months of space

Anonymous No. 16207646

>>16207637
>Think about the equipment you'd need to ship there

If getting mining and refining equipment to Mars or making it locally is not feasible then we might as well go ahead and can the whole thing now since local resource extraction of materials too heavy to ship (metal) is damn near step 1. Remember I am talking about very rich deposits, you only need small scale machinery for very high yield. It wouldn't be like today's giant open pit mines taking a few grams of gold out of tonnes of rock, but like Roman slaves taking chunks of high grade gold ore from seams, except with modern equipment like explosives and excavators. Refining gold is actually pretty simple so long as you aren't autistic about .999999 purity. The miller process takes it to ~99.5% and all you need to do is blow chlorine gas through molten gold. If your colony can't do something as simple as make elemental chlorine from the perchlorates on Mars then, again, might as well go ahead and can the whole thing now.

Anonymous No. 16207647

>>16207637
even if gold was slightly profitable its a very big opportunity cost instead of making the colony more self-sustainable
if you have some spare capacity to ship stuff back (for instance with people returning) and the material is a byproduct and you would have to start stockpiling it, I don't think it makes sense even if it was profitable, the opportunity cost is too high

Image not available

1656x1041

STS049-03-030-xx.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207648

>>16207059
It was a clusterfuck of a design, still cool looking and based

Anonymous No. 16207652

on the other hand when I think about it, the luxury goods market is very big and actually one of the largest sectors in Europe, the worlds richest man was into luxury goods
not sure how big of a market that would in billions per year for martian rocks

Anonymous No. 16207655

>>16207645
you have representatives on earth that enforce that intellectual property and the companies would have operations both on mars and earth and the earth based operations would license the tech or just sell products/services using that tech, I don't think that is going to be problem
in the short term the colony would basically be a territory of the US

Anonymous No. 16207656

>>16207652
Look at how much rich retards pay for fancy bottled water. Its absurd. There's one example of a market that literally cannot get saturated.

Boo-ker No. 16207658

>>16207656
Oi

Anonymous No. 16207659

>>16207656
yes perhaps the market is larger than people think

Anonymous No. 16207662

>>16207427
>have martians working remote for companies on earth
Anything that will be done on a computer will be done on Earth for a very long time. The cost to stay alive on earth is like $300 to rent a room and buy rice and beans for a month. If Mars is anything like the ISS it'll be $3mil/month.
>the martian population would be extremely intelligent
I honestly wonder. Conditions will be hell and all the engineering will have already been done on Earth. I mean, all the science on Mars so far has been done by a Roomba with the scientists comfy back on Earth. For the first few windows you'd send a plumber that likes camping or something

Anonymous No. 16207666

>>16207662
I'm not talking about the 5 initial colonists doing fiver to sustain themselves, I'm talking about long term when most of the basics are already produced at the colony (water, food, basic building materials, steel) and you would have an appreciably sized colony already

Boo-ker No. 16207669

In my periphery I have made 2 Killion(quadrillion). Not sure though, it could be falsity, but I have discovered all knowledge of this particular fission and more. I even designed a fission.

Anonymous No. 16207670

>>16207646
Well then consider the cost of allocating that valuable machine time towards mining something just to export. After all that the $/oz will still need to be competitive with Earth, where labor is cheap and can breathe, and the gold is already in the right well. Those numbers work or they don't.
>>16207647
If you had spare mass it still may not be worth it, even if it's just a gold gravel sitting on the ground, how far from the city is it? How expensive is your labor? Even then it would be such a small fraction of the operating cost it almost wouldn't be worth it, even to close the gap slightly. You could keep it unrefined and sell Martian native gold, but then you get the Mars rocks argument again.

Anonymous No. 16207675

>>16207659
The luxury goods market is really massive. Then there are things that have tremendous value that will only increase in value coming from Mars. Imagine the price tag on Martian gemstones? That's also an example of something that can divided into small units and sold to plebs for jewellery in huge quantities at a huge markup. Regular jewellery pieces made from Martian metals too, even just plain iron pieces woukd fetch a price tag for quite some time. Has the jewellery market been saturated? Lol lmao even.

You could take Martian fines and sinter them into fancy art pieces, how about making those glass art pieces that contain different coloured layers of sand inside, etc... bet you could get a whole boom industry of spiralling prices on artfag shit made from Martian materials. Pay some hypebeasts and high society niggers to shill that shit and it would go nuts.

No one in this thread is really thinking this through.

Anonymous No. 16207677

>>16207655
China? Come on now
>>16207666
Yeah a century or so from now, that's what I've been saying
>>16207656
Do you think people are going to eat the Mars rocks or what? Of course you can still sell consumables in a saturated consumables market, damn

Anonymous No. 16207678

>>16207670
and would spare mass really be spare mass? that would mean extra propellant so it might make sense just to send the ship with less than max payload so you need less propellant

Image not available

850x478

1687594650419276.webm

Anonymous No. 16207681

Image not available

1080x1884

55_a23b203fd3aafc....jpg

Anonymous No. 16207683

>>16206969
What would you have done?

Anonymous No. 16207685

>>16207670
>but then you get the Mars rocks argument again

It's a valid argument, look at the amount of things that command a high price tag because they have FAMOUS HISTORIC PLACE OR REGION in their name. Some of those things have been sold at a fantastic premiums for literal centuries. I'm sure the first person to start exporting Martian wines will be able to slap whatever price they want on them and sell as many bottles and they can ship.

>>16207677
>Do you think people are going to eat the Mars rocks or what?

You know Mars has this stuff called water, right? Richfags are paying upwards of 1000 dollars a bottle for some of that shit and the cost of production is basically zero since your colonists and rocket fuel needs water anyway.

Image not available

2714x2730

IMG_8214.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207690

>>16207648
That 60s-80s government aircraft / spacecraft design was so… utilitarian? Practical and pretty. Can’t really think of a word for it, but it retroactively reminds me of cassette core a la the first Alien movie.

Anonymous No. 16207692

>>16207681
insane animation

Anonymous No. 16207694

>>16207685
Look I'm not saying there's some aspect to Mars that erases the value of anything there, I'm just saying the numbers have to work. I don't think exporting anything at all will be net positive for the first few decades. It doesn't matter how valuable it is, I don't think you'll profit. Even if you did profit on one ship, you aren't putting a dent in your overall expenditure

Anonymous No. 16207696

https://www.space.com/japanese-billionaire-cancels-spacex-starship-moon-dearmoon-flight
LOL the Japanese billionaire actually thought the rocket would be ready in 2023

Anonymous No. 16207700

>>16207694
The question is the ships. They either have to scrap them and turn them into insanely expensive and shitty accomodation or send them back. If they send them back then they will be coming empty since most mass to Mars will be cargo. Do you really think there is no economic incentive to find ways to fill those ships with simple shit you can guaranteed process and sell on the luxury market on Earth? I suppose you could fill them with less fuel but then you are missing a huge opportunity cost which seems retarded to me and I'm sure there will be at least a handful of people willing to bankroll at least one fully loaded ship as proof of concept. I would take shares in that for sure.

Anonymous No. 16207707

>>16207700
They absolutely fucking would not send back empties, holy shit. It will always be cheaper to make a new one on Earth. The steel and fuel would be way more valuable once on Mars than a new second stage on Earth.

Image not available

1536x2048

GPJcSJgXIAAGBFd.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207714

https://x.com/StarshipGazer/status/1797600677910491568

YOLO

Anonymous No. 16207715

>>16207707
There is a pretty significant investment in engines and all the gizmos and shit and manufacturing costs. I'm pretty sure it's worth more than what amounts to a pressurised steel tube with no radiation protection on Mars. Plus every ship scrapped on Mars is one they have to build again, essentially making it an expendable stage...

Image not available

227x121

010805.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207724

>>16207714

Anonymous No. 16207725

>>16207724
It's over

Anonymous No. 16207728

>>16207715
The only thing that matters is the dollars. Things on Mars will be worth more than things on Earth because there are more things on Earth than on Mars. Steel and fuel will be more valuable on Mars than a new Starship on Earth. The economics of this are inarguable. No wonder you've been arguing for exports if you don't understand this

Image not available

4096x3072

GPIMC2wXEAAB-PC.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207729

>>16207539

Anonymous No. 16207732

>>16207729
maybe its not paint but a new thinner tile?

Anonymous No. 16207738

>>16207728
they need exports to earth to run a balanced budget. if they cant do that then they will remain a massive economc drain on earth. Not like that would be a showstopper though if there was political will. The USA could just issue infinite government bonds to Mars which they could use to buy American shit, just like what America does with it's Earhtly vassals.

Image not available

910x543

Figure.png

Anonymous No. 16207741

>>16207729
Having even a small discontinuity in the heat shield is gonna make for some weird heating characteristics.
https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/20100030598/downloads/20100030598.pdf

Anonymous No. 16207742

>>16207728
>Things on Mars will be worth more than things on Earth because there are more things on Earth than on Mars. Steel and fuel will be more valuable on Mars than a new Starship on Earth

Sure, if you have an unlimited budget and don't need to worry about you know, running a fucking business, recouping the costs of your very expensive starships, having to build more and more every cycle while bringing in 0 profit from the venture, that kind of thing. I'm not saying you can run the whole economy of Mars off luxury goods but you can certainly cut a huge amount of the early financial burden if you have half a brain for marketing.

Anonymous No. 16207751

>>16207738
>they will remain a massive economc drain on earth
It will be! We should still do it, but it will be. That's just how it is. You aren't arguing with me here, you're arguing with economics
>>16207742
The numbers do not work. You would not return empty Starships, and retuning them with luxury goods would not put a dent into the cost. Let's just assume SpaceX bankrolls all of it and Starlink plus the Earth's launch market nets them $10/bil per year. Do you honestly see the effort of any Mars operation being worth it compared to those numbers? The people there will need materials, they'll need their labor to go towards Mars operations. The economics are not sound. Maybe in a century

Anonymous No. 16207753

>>16207683
Sold it. It's my rock.

Image not available

663x843

010806.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207754

https://x.com/HeySlattz/status/1797494906770084333

Anonymous No. 16207755

>>16207738
That's not reasonable: it means that expansion of the colony requires more gibs, a negative feedback cycle which will result in antarctica style feedback stations. Mars has to either become independent of earth eventually or export more than it imports. The former is more realistic than the latter.

Anonymous No. 16207758

It would take a very long time and a concerted effort, but if you can establish a Martian culture of some sort that is distinct from Earth then you can sell the products of that culture for a huge premium. For instance, I watched a documentary on Native Americans and one of the guys in the documentary only made blankets as his source of income, and he made a shit load of money doing it because collectors (white people) paid a huge premium for his authentic native blankets. The only problem I can realistically see is that Mars becomes a technocratic shithole with no culture.

Anonymous No. 16207759

>>16207742
I'll add, Musk wants to scale up to the point where he's building three Starships per day. Production will scale up towards that in between every launch window. That means the value of the Starship on Mars would be even less by the time you'd send it back.

Anonymous No. 16207760

>>16207742
Running a business is incompatible with mars colonization, which is why SpaceX has to stay private and bankroll mars with starlink money.

Anonymous No. 16207761

strapping rockets to asteroids then slamming them into a small area on mars to then mine and send back to earth after processing (whatever blends are the most pollutant) seems the play to me

Image not available

768x1024

1688606011393839.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207763

>>16207754
oh no muh ITAR

Anonymous No. 16207765

test

Anonymous No. 16207766

>>16207763
It's just that easy in rocketry.

Anonymous No. 16207767

>>16207758
Everyone will be living in the same large machine for the first few decades, I don't think they'll produce physical art at all, let alone any comparable to a thousands of years old culturally distinct people.
Mars is not economically viable unless you think on the timelines of cathedral builders. That's ok, but it's also inarguable

Anonymous No. 16207771

>>16207761
That's because you're retarded and don't understand business. Expenditure is x, revenue is y. It doesn't matter how big y is if x is bigger. On Mars, x is bigger than y in all cases.

Anonymous No. 16207776

>>16207771
Read his post again

Anonymous No. 16207777

>>16207776
It's Mars mining with extra steps. It just makes it more expensive and difficult. It still doesn't work

Anonymous No. 16207778

>>16207771
I'm smart and that's how it's going to play out. mars means you don't need to pay attention to pollution. just put cyclers between it and earth. pound mars with mineral rich asteroids (way easier to mine on mars than with a dinky mining satellite meme that also has to boost back after). have refining infrastructure on mars that pumps out illegal on earth pollutants. fill cycler on way back with processed goods. maybe even finished goods given the time between cyclers.
>what about oversupply of x
if you 10x platinum yeah the price goes down but it also means it becomes viable for way more shit (guns, bicycles, cars, w/e) so demand goes up too.

Anonymous No. 16207784

>>16207777
No, he is making a joke about Total Earther Death.

Anonymous No. 16207787

also guess how much easier mining is when the mineral rich astroid gets dropped onto a planet. maybe it's not even "mining" at that point and instead some drones driving around picking up chunks

Anonymous No. 16207788

>>16207258
Martians, being based and living free of Earth law, will Waco Horror anyone suspected of faggotry

Anonymous No. 16207791

>>16207778
Anon, you need to do the math, I guarantee you that platinum isn't valuable enough for this to be profitable.

Anonymous No. 16207793

>>16207791
learn what a cycler is. it's free to put shit on it. you're just a doomer. probably vaxxed. you won't live to see the first man on mars anyway

Anonymous No. 16207795

>>16207778
You would need to
>send mining equipment to Mars
>safely redirect an asteroid far from the city
>build a new base close to the impact
>mine it (don't give me any shit about robots, ask anyone in the industry how realistic mining robots are)
>process it
>launch it back
And all that would need to cost less than $1000/oz for platinum. Does that seem real? We should go to Mars but it won't be profitable.
>>16207784
I think he's talking about things too polluting to mine on Earth, basically regulation induced demand

Anonymous No. 16207801

>>16207793
>cyclers are FREE!
they're not, and that isn't the only significant price point. I'm pretty sure you're just baiting.

Anonymous No. 16207803

>>16207793
lol no, that isn't how cyclers work
you still need the same amount of dV to send things with cyclers, its just that if you had people riding on them they would be more comfortable

Anonymous No. 16207809

>>16207793
The net energy to get to a cycler is the same, it's just more comfortable for the people inside because you can make it huge by constructing it in space

Anonymous No. 16207816

>>16207801
>>16207803
>>16207809
nah you guys are dumb. you can refuel the cycler on the earth side while only needing enough fuel to get from mars to cycler on mars side. fuel on mars is way more at a premium. once again I've proved I'm smart and this is how it's going to happen

Anonymous No. 16207819

>>16207816
This reminds me of that skyhook retard

Anonymous No. 16207822

>can't refute so ad hominem
yup. also the tethered ring is the play for earth launches

Image not available

1242x1221

1705446255437512.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207827

Stoke's idea for a heatshield seems much better.

Anonymous No. 16207831

>>16207816
Respond to this >>16207795
Even if the return trip was completely free the numbers do not work.

Anonymous No. 16207836

>>16207831
who cares. your fiat currency inflates everyday. only thing that matters is will to power and throwing rocks at mars is how you get that

Anonymous No. 16207842

>>16207836
We're talking about commodities you fucking idiot, that has nothing to do with the currency. I can't believe I spent all morning arguing with someone who understands economics as well as my dog

Anonymous No. 16207853

>>16207842
your dog isn't vaxxed so he's smarter than you (like me)

Anonymous No. 16207865

>>16207690
Yes, pure functionality. I love it. It was desgined by and for engineers. No bells and whistles, it just does what it needs to do.

Anonymous No. 16207866

>>16207853
If you figured out the vaccine risk > c*vid prevention ratio then the Mars mining expenditure > commodities price should come just as easily. I'll accept your concession at any time

Anonymous No. 16207872

>>16207214
"AI" is just the current big tech scam/bubble.
"Big data" is no longer sufficiently trendy buzzword to keep tech grifters employed doing no useful work.

Anonymous No. 16207874

>>16207872
Big Data is no longer a trendy buzzword because it's become normal. Everybody does it now. AI is heading in that direction as well. The idea of having a natural-language voice interface to your device is gonna be real soon. (For certain values of soon.)

Anonymous No. 16207884

>>16207872
Based retard

Anonymous No. 16207895

>>16207874
Yeah nah, it was a bubble. It was laughable seeing cases like a big company employing as many as 2k data scientists at the peak of the boom and running server farms with whatever unproven fotm databases and trying to figure out how to do something useful, spending years gathering useless data. Now it's all gone lol and nothing changed for the organizations that already had real use cases for big data before the bubble.

>natural-language voice interface to your device
Was done before the current AI boom.
Was a dumb gimmick and it's gonna be a dumb gimmick with terrible UX if it ever becomes a prominent way to interface with programmable computers. But it won't, not with current tech. Current natural language AI-shits like LLMs are toys, any serious use would need something fundamentally different that is not prone to hallucinating all the fucking time.

Anonymous No. 16207897

Now, before you tards get your panties in a bunch, understand that I'm not saying these things are completely devoid of real use. No, they're just overhyped and grifters try to apply them to fucking everything until the general public wisens up to the bullshit and the bubble bursts.

Anonymous No. 16207917

>>16207683
Why would you speculate on the price of moon dust going UP this decade

Anonymous No. 16207931

>>16207897
Not spaceflight nigger shut the fuck up

Anonymous No. 16207960

>>16207732
they should get the thick tiles to work before they think about that

Anonymous No. 16207961

>>16207738
>The USA could just issue infinite government bonds to Mars which they could use to buy American shit, just like what America does with it's Earhtly vassals.
explain it like I'm 9

Anonymous No. 16207963

>>16207758
Maybe they can be like Switzerland earning all their money by being a bank that stores gold on Mars.

Anonymous No. 16207965

>>16207961
Turns out that money isn't actually real, true story.

Anonymous No. 16207967

>>16207961
the USA, and to a lesser extend the EU and China can just say money has infinite value, and it does

Anonymous No. 16207968

>>16207960
the only problem that we know about is that the tiles are unable to stay on the rocket, we have no idea how it deals with reentry

Anonymous No. 16207974

>>16207771
well home home we can't find a case where y is bigger than x

Image not available

1129x1486

1717432577269.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207975

WEN
HOP

Anonymous No. 16207976

>>16207895
>Was a dumb gimmick and it's gonna be a dumb gimmick with terrible UX if it ever becomes a prominent way to interface with programmable computers.
I wish you were right but you're not. Voice interface is gonna e THE way people use computers in 10 years.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XQr4Xklqzw8

Image not available

660x330

Picard lander.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207981

>>16207976
>Computer, display all federation archives pertaining "krystal the fox", disengage safesearch

Anonymous No. 16207984

>>16207974
what??

Anonymous No. 16207987

>>16207984
well how come we can't find a case where y is bigger than x*

Also I hope I'm not suffering brain damage.

Image not available

574x712

Howard Russell Bu....jpg

Anonymous No. 16207992

Image not available

988x772

shuttle sortie can.jpg

Anonymous No. 16207994

Image not available

472x768

58FA3404-DB8F-4C0....jpg

Anonymous No. 16207995

What kind of accents/speech patterns will native born Martians/Lunies have?

Anonymous No. 16207999

>>16207995
Chinese

Image not available

190x623

martian lanklet.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208002

>>16207995
their hideous elongated forms will surely affect their vocalization

Anonymous No. 16208003

>>16207999
Only on their hemisphere

Anonymous No. 16208012

>>16208002
E*rther manletsss are ssso melodramatic

Image not available

1280x899

lunar_hopper_by_a....jpg

Anonymous No. 16208019

>>16208012
*gets beat up by teen Earther girl*

Image not available

598x334

Martian visits Ea....webm

Anonymous No. 16208020

>>16208002
Imagine scaling a Martian woman to reach the summit. Tall people tend to have deep voices, I wonder what the upper limit on that is? Inb4 she sounds like James Earl Jones.

Image not available

640x480

sddefault.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208026

Why didn't they make the shuttle like this?

Image not available

1229x727

X-24 b lifting bo....jpg

Anonymous No. 16208031

>>16208020
just add some helium to the bedroom to raise her pitch to feminine norms. of course you yourself will sound like mickey mouse but no system is perfect

Anonymous No. 16208041

>>16207987
Well, because y(revenue) is determined by Earth supply/demand, and Earth has a supply chain, cheap labor, and air. Also it's already on Earth. Every single thing you could possibly think of would be cheaper to do on Earth for the next century at least. Labor, equipment, and shipping make x(expense) much higher than it would be on Earth.

Anonymous No. 16208043

>>16208019
Typical dumb earther resorting to violence, it's funny because we can chuck rocks at you anytime we please.

Anonymous No. 16208051

>>16208020
>Martians will consider earthers to be both dumpy and squeaky
kek

Anonymous No. 16208055

Would an electromagnetic launch system work in Mars? Could just use Mars as a ghetto shipyard.

Anonymous No. 16208058

>>16208041
okay but what if we find something valuable on Mars that Earth doesn't have (diamonds?)

Image not available

1280x720

789789kjkjkj.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208059

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJiCHxhm7kA
>Flight 4 Full Stack 'Ready To Fly' | Starbase Update

Anonymous No. 16208061

>>16207995
They'll sound like that kid from Joe Pera who grew up on the antarctic research station.

Anonymous No. 16208063

Hey it's Marcus House with ya here

Image not available

856x765

tharsis.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208066

>>16208055
absolutely. a mass driver on pavonis mons is above most of the atmosphere and puts cargo in an equatorial orbit

Anonymous No. 16208068

>>16208055
maybe, especially at higher elevations where the pressure is really low but that would mean it would only make sense to build quite a bit later
you would have to have some non-rocket transportation to the launch site on a mountain from the colony which would be on the lowest elevation possible basically so starship landing can bleed more speed with higher atmospheric pressure + extracting stuff from the atmosphere is more efficient
so even if it did make sense, it would be an extremely long term project, probably after self sufficiency

Anonymous No. 16208069

>>16208058
Even if they're sitting there on pallet you'd need to go get them and then bring them all the way back to Earth. It still might not be worth it

Image not available

359x269

monarch.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208073

>>16208031
The voice doesn't bother me
>>16208051
Earthers will be like dwarves, or halflings to them.

Anonymous No. 16208080

If there was a 100 kg gold ingot on the surface of Mars and we knew where exactly it is would it be profitable to retrieve it?

Anonymous No. 16208083

>>16208080
That's only like $7.5million, anon.

Image not available

412x326

sfg tard.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208084

>>16208080
no, of course not

Anonymous No. 16208091

>>16208080
Why don't you ask JPL?
>>16208073
Nice reference.

Anonymous No. 16208092

>>16207249
Go back to administering the Department of Transportation, Mr Secretary

Anonymous No. 16208111

>>16207574
I like the idea of transpiration (happy pride month, btw), but adding lots of little channels and actively controlling the amount of cryogenic fluid coming out of them is not a small task
it's probably even shittier than fucking around with tiles
and what if something breaks? it's harder to inspect and maintain

just adding one big valve and turning one side of starship into a showerhead is unlikely to actually work and still requires lots of fiddly channels

Anonymous No. 16208115

>>16208111
anon, I was blissfully ignorant until you mentioned it.

Anonymous No. 16208117

>>16208115
>anon, I was blissfully ignorant until you mentioned it.
blissfully ignorant of cooling channels getting clogged with ice?

Anonymous No. 16208121

>>16208117
>ice
Ice is cold, that would be the opposite of a problem

Anonymous No. 16208123

>>16208121
>>16208084

Image not available

500x522

file.png

Anonymous No. 16208128

>>16207592
>Also how can you 100% QA a gorillion tiles on a rapidly reusable vehicle in any kind of timely of cost effective manner?
play a loud sound or otherwise vibrate the whole thing and confirm that the tiles resonate correctly (I think you could do it optically with a fast enough frame rate)
apparently "acoustic resonance testing" is already used in industry

Anonymous No. 16208139

>>16207683
I wouldn't have named my daughter "Gracen". "Grayson" is already a stupid name for a man. Naming your daughter that is child abuse.

Anonymous No. 16208142

>>16208139
so you'd say you're gracist

Anonymous No. 16208144

>>16207767
>Everyone will be living in the same large machine for the first few decades, I don't think they'll produce physical art at all
Bro, you're actually retarded if you think even a group of 10 people would go decades without creating any art. Even some autists make art.

Anonymous No. 16208150

>>16208142
No just gracially aware

Image not available

500x500

file.png

Anonymous No. 16208156

>>16208142
of course

Anonymous No. 16208157

Gracial realist

Anonymous No. 16208180

>>16208144
Physical art though? I'm obviously aware of the impulse to make art, I just think it'll happen on computers while there are constraints elsewhere. I also don't think it will be culturally distinct enough to be compelling enough to be worth the price to ship back. Maybe a "first artwork to be made on Mars" deriving value from its place in the history books, otherwise I don't see it happening until it's a fully operational city

Image not available

550x372

file.png

Anonymous No. 16208195

>>16208180
In my humble opinion the trade aspect is being overplayed. Elon wants to make the colony self-sufficient. Additionally the literal years between contact between the planets means this is a practical necessity.

Yes, mars will need to produce a lot, but it's going to be busy with making enough for domestic demands.

Still, some people spend all their time making art and to many artists the medium itself is very important. There are some people who would make art in any free time and with whatever materials were on hand.

pic related. It was drawn in orbit.

Image not available

700x933

welding-art-metal....jpg

Anonymous No. 16208201

>>16208195
Oh yeah, exports aside I'd love to see what people make. Industrial tools and environments could lead to some interesting ideas

Image not available

499x627

2x-N1.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208224

look at these goofy cones

Image not available

345x104

file.png

Anonymous No. 16208228

>>16208139

Anonymous No. 16208231

>>16207683
Kept it or sold it. Though I wouldn't have bought it in the first place because the chance of it being a scam is high and moon rocks are only going to get more common. It's not actually illegal to possess it or anything; the government fucked up awhile back and accidentally sold a bunch of it to a private individual and now there's a legal supply of it on the market.

Anonymous No. 16208264

>>16207520
if she's ready willing and able to go there when the time comes, brings a higher degree in something useful with her, and will take a husband and have kids once there then why not?

Anonymous No. 16208266

>>16208026
because that's fucking retarded

Image not available

517x768

1656116470369.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208267

>>16206984
"The year is 2030. Elon Musk has been in Federal prison for wire fraud for three years, and SpaceX's new owner, Jeff Bezos, has converted the booster for the cancelled Starship into the first stage of the "New Armstrong" semi-reusable heavy launch system..."

Anonymous No. 16208271

is nothing happening today?

Anonymous No. 16208273

>>16207556
don't worry bro it's engine paint from the auto parts store, mopar black, it can take the heat

Image not available

736x721

1710960780575435.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208281

>>16208026
cunnilingus

Anonymous No. 16208288

>>16207539
>>16207571
I'm telling you
spray-on bedliner based ablative heatshield is the way to go
just hose it down after each flight and bobs your ankle

Anonymous No. 16208293

>>16208271
No. Build up for later this week we have Shartliner retry, IFT-4 and more F9

Image not available

1000x1000

Layered Ablative ....jpg

Anonymous No. 16208295

>>16208288
LADS

Anonymous No. 16208296

I can't wait for september 2024 when New Glenn will finally launch.

Anonymous No. 16208308

>>16208296
You laugh but it WILL happen, and in the blink of an eye there will be an orbit-capable challenger to spacex on the market

Anonymous No. 16208312

>>16208308
oh how I wish that were true

Anonymous No. 16208316

>>16208267
Not funny, even as a joke!

Anonymous No. 16208317

>>16208271
https://x.com/jeff_foust/status/1797714998313259518

Anonymous No. 16208322

>>16208317
Spoiler: They ain't gonna do shit.

Image not available

1579x2000

IMG_9057.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208327

Hullo finally made his NTP video.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KlKAMB71wT4

Anonymous No. 16208328

When license?

Anonymous No. 16208329

>>16208020
I KNEEL

Anonymous No. 16208330

How do “they” (NASA geologists I guess) know that lunar rocks were originally Earth rocks. Handwaiving and just saying “uhhhh geochemistry” isn’t enough. I don’t understand how they KNOW, for certain

Anonymous No. 16208331

>>16208330
how the fuck do they know those Martian meteorites actually came from mars?

Anonymous No. 16208337

>>16208330
Made of the same substance (silicates)

Anonymous No. 16208338

>>16208322
it's going to have to be a nasa mission with nasa astronauts. isaacman may not be on the mission at all.

Anonymous No. 16208340

>>16208338
They ain't gonna do shit.

Anonymous No. 16208342

>>16207048
add an extra zero for each step and it's pretty accurate

Anonymous No. 16208344

>>16208337
that’s pretty much every rocky planet, moon, and asteroid
dumbass

Image not available

2318x1837

1677940808530543.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208350

>>16207648

Anonymous No. 16208365

>>16208330
>know that lunar rocks were originally Earth rocks
What does that mean, are you asking how we know that the moon formed from an earth collision>

Anonymous No. 16208368

>>16208350
glass cockpit was an aesthetic downgrade and I’m pretty sure it only saved like 75 lbs total lmao

Anonymous No. 16208374

>>16208365
Basically.
It has always been a hypothesis but once NASA brought back pristine rocks in the 1970s and studied them, they were able to conclude that Lunar rock are just Earth rocks that got ejected into orbit. But I have no clue HOW you conclude that, like wtf do you look for? How do you analyze that (I suppose with an electron microprobe?)

Anonymous No. 16208378

>>16208365
we know where pieces of Theia are in the Earth's mantle as well

Anonymous No. 16208383

>>16208374
just guess.

Anonymous No. 16208390

Teflon Don

Anonymous No. 16208401

>>16208331
The composition of gas trapped in bubbles on the surface of molten rock ejected from the planet after a asteroid impact matches that of the Martian atmosphere.

Anonymous No. 16208409

>>16208328
at the last minute, as usual

Image not available

688x539

surface_of_mars.png

Anonymous No. 16208415

>>16208331
martian rocks have an extremely distinctive appearance

Image not available

1x1

15415.pdf

Anonymous No. 16208417

>>16208374
>HOW you conclude that
>Radiometric dating of samples
>Moon has a smaller than average iron-rich core compared to Earths' larger than average iron rich core
>Oxygen isotope levels nearly the same as Earth rocks
>KREEP in samples that could only have formed in a magma ocean
>Ratios of Zinc isotopes that do not occur in regular igneous processes
>Clouds of Silica dust and gas around stars ~115ly away which would match a giant impact
>Modern computer simulations showing that Giant impact of Theia on Proto-earth was likely
>>16208378
>What he said
So yeah bunch of evidence built up over the years, have a paper showing how they analyse rocks

Anonymous No. 16208421

>>16208415
ait is that fucking real? holy shit looks like they discovered like kek.

Anonymous No. 16208428

>>16208417
Geochemists are another breed of autistic

Anonymous No. 16208431

>>16208421
how do you not remember when NASA discovered microbes on mars? this was huge news

Image not available

328x482

Who Built the Moo....jpg

Anonymous No. 16208432

> muh Theia impact
lol

Image not available

609x745

life_on_mars.png

Anonymous No. 16208436

>>16208421
>>16208431

Anonymous No. 16208439

>>16208368
It saved costs. Every single one of those switches can never fail. Instead you can just make a few touch screens that never fail and if one does just use another touch screen

Image not available

1158x665

kkjhghhgfjhgj.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208440

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ytl1efG1sBw

SOON

Anonymous No. 16208442

First ever static fire at Masseys'
>https://twitter.com/NASASpaceflight/status/1797746142647918740

Anonymous No. 16208446

>>16208440
“reusable rocket”

Image not available

1024x752

1715137093140722.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208452

>>16208446
hopefully the same NY court that nailed Trump gets Felon Husk on defrauding investors soon too

Anonymous No. 16208455

>>16207741
Maybe they *want* to see what happens with one or two missing tiles, when they aren't even planning to splash the upper stage yet. So far they haven't even been able to re-enter properly enough to test the tiles. They almost made it on IFT-3, but it had a fucked up spin that kept it from entering on the heat shield.

Anonymous No. 16208460

>>16208455
I wish we had some footage of what it looked like at 200k feet and also just before it splashed.

Anonymous No. 16208461

>>16208440
Loss of B10 during flight 3 was caused by the ejected ring impacting the top of the booster during engine relight.
Yes, you may quote this.

Image not available

400x400

1678729476146309.png

Anonymous No. 16208463

>>16208461
>"I'M A BIG STUPID FAGGOT AND I LIKE TO SUCK DICK!"

OK quoted

Anonymous No. 16208465

>>16208460
I'm hoping we get to see that in a few days, but tiles weren't the reason it didn't happen last time.

Anonymous No. 16208469

>>16208455
Muskovite Cope

Anonymous No. 16208488

>>16208350
reminder this was designed in the 1960s by people using slide rules

Anonymous No. 16208492

>>16208327
I love NTP

Anonymous No. 16208493

>>16208440
Added mass means there's not enough fuel in the header tank for a landing burn.

There, saved you an hour or so.

Anonymous No. 16208495

>>16208327
NTP is nice, unfortunately it won't be allowed.

Anonymous No. 16208516

>>16208495
By who? It is the USSF, DARPA and NASA who are developing it.

Image not available

669x574

010815.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208521

https://x.com/NASASpaceflight/status/1797746142647918740

Anonymous No. 16208524

>>16208521
where's the grid fins? is it the first tanker demo?

Anonymous No. 16208527

>>16208521
they will be able to do these whenever now I guess, no houses nearby

Anonymous No. 16208534

>>16208452
>>>/pol/

Image not available

3000x2052

Young and Crippen.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208537

>>16208488
>yfw it was designed in the 1960s by people using slide rules

Anonymous No. 16208538

>>16208524
Its an older design, they never bothered with tiles or flaps, as ships at the time were doubtful to make it to reentry.

Anonymous No. 16208541

>>16208516
It won't be allowed for private spaceflight, imagine the headlines: "CEO TO BUILD PRIVATE ICBM STOCKPILE".
I don't think NASA and the plague of old space contractors will be capable of building it either, and I don't even think congress would allow it in the first place. No votes in space + horrible geopolitical lens (why are you launching a radiation spewing rocket over our airspace?) + environmentalists, NIMBYS and anti-nuclear fags campaigning not to. At best they fund a few studies and it goes nowhere.

Anonymous No. 16208542

>>16208541
also, yes I know the NTP won't be launching the rocket from earth

Image not available

660x414

010816.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208546

https://x.com/Erdayastronaut/status/1797745490030932268

https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-invites-media-to-discuss-hubble-operations-update/

Anonymous No. 16208547

>>16208534
I was being sarcastic, I think what they are doing to ex-President Trump is a travesty and emblematic of our descent to 3rd world bananna republic tier governance.

Image not available

676x691

giga chink.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208552

>>16208541
sucks to be you gweilo, we'll use NTRs and those clowns won't say a word

Anonymous No. 16208554

>>16208546
SpaceX cant be trusted. Give ULA or BO the contract

Anonymous No. 16208558

>>16208524
The upper stage doesnt have gridfins retard

Anonymous No. 16208559

>>16208547
You were a banana republic since Lincoln, anon. It got worse during the great depression, and it's been downhill since then.

Anonymous No. 16208565

>>16208516
>the USSF, DARPA and NASA who are developing it

Cool so we might see a prototype sometime in 2043?

Anonymous No. 16208569

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ytl1efG1sBw
>Why SpaceX Plans To Jettison The Interstage On Flight 4

Anonymous No. 16208575

>>16208541
If private companies can operate nuclear power plants the they can also operate NTP. HALEU is not weapons grade

Anonymous No. 16208577

>>16208558
you know what i mean

Anonymous No. 16208578

>>16208552
>we'll use NTRs
oooof the "chinese workers killed in nuclear rocket accident" vids are going to be next level

Anonymous No. 16208581

>>16208575
Yes, I agree. I just don't think the press or the public will see it that way.

Anonymous No. 16208583

>>16208565
Lockheed Martin demo by 2027 apparently

Anonymous No. 16208585

>>16208583
>lockheed
see you in 2031

Anonymous No. 16208586

>>16208541
>>16208565
DRACO launches in 2027 on a Vulcan

Anonymous No. 16208588

>>16208575
>>16208541
The Lunar tug that BO and Lockheed are working on (for Blue's HLS) is NTP.

Anonymous No. 16208589

>>16208583
>>16208586
I will do a beck and post it here if that happens.
You can screencap this post.

Anonymous No. 16208592

>>16208583
>locksneed

Lol lmao even, thanks for the tax dollars goy

Anonymous No. 16208602

>>16208585
optimistic of you

Image not available

2753x1549

BeckEatsHat.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208607

>>16208589
forgot pic.

Anonymous No. 16208619

>>16208488
You got a problem with slide rules?

Anonymous No. 16208641

You're not gonna believe this: Just read L2 and guess what? Starship heat shield is not only not designed to survive (wtf) it is designed to KILL astronauts and make their death as agonizing as possible. I confirmed this with my NASA contact and holy shit it's true, what the FUCK IS GOING ON?? STOP MUSK NOW?!

Anonymous No. 16208649

>>16208602
He meant 2041.

Anonymous No. 16208653

>>16208641
this, it's designed to bake them at 400 degrees for an hour, remove the cover and then brown them for an additional 10 to 15 minutes, the sick fuck

Anonymous No. 16208669

>>16208653
mmm, tasty.

Anonymous No. 16208671

>>16208653
You can tell he just wants notoriety at this point. what better way to be hated for all time than murder brave astronauts it's so obvious

Anonymous No. 16208674

Reminder that if starship was any other rocket not only would IFT3 have not resulted in a mishap investigation, but IFT4 would be carrying a real payload.

Anonymous No. 16208689

>>16208674
If starship was japanese IFT1 would've carried a real payload.

Image not available

1920x1080

gracist_tshirt.png

Anonymous No. 16208692

>>16208569
melanated content warning

Anonymous No. 16208694

>>16208692
Thanks anon

Anonymous No. 16208698

>>16208547
>>>/pol/

Image not available

1080x1188

biden_cock_photos.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208705

>>16208547
>"LOCK HER UP"
>Lock who up?
>NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Anonymous No. 16208713

>>16208674
if Starship was an oldspace rocket (fully expendible) it would already be operational

Image not available

1024x726

SpaceX workers ca....jpg

Anonymous No. 16208720

I remember when boomers were losing their shit and basedjaking over this

Anonymous No. 16208724

>>16208720
cool water tower

Anonymous No. 16208726

>>16208581
>the public
all the care about is free free palestime and muh ukraine, most don't even care about space at all these days because musk is the face of space travel today and almost all normals hate musk these days.

Anonymous No. 16208728

>>16208720
At the time I did think it was kind of ridiculous. Very transparently a way to create theillusion that the program is further developed than it actually is. It was even funnier when the cone blew away in wind and was never used in flight.

Anonymous No. 16208729

>>16208726
When was the last time you really talked to someone in real life, anon?

Anonymous No. 16208731

>>16208728
I suspect that the majority of people watching at the time didn't think it was going to fly. A lot of people thought it was publicity and/or a water tower.

Anonymous No. 16208733

>>16208729
most normals don't care about the stuff I care about so I don't bother with them

Anonymous No. 16208736

>The ascender of China's Chang'e-6 probe lifted off from lunar surface on Tuesday morning, carrying samples collected from the moon's far side, an unprecedented feat in human lunar exploration history.
>The ascender has entered a preset orbit around the moon, said the China National Space Administration
https://english.news.cn/20240604/99fce53800084ad09f9d29f54af2791d/c.html

Image not available

422x366

goto space to avo....jpg

Anonymous No. 16208745

Anonymous No. 16208747

>>16208731
>I suspect that the majority of people watching at the time didn't think it was going to fly
same
it was a hunk of scrap metal welded together by a bunch of amateurs at the time(2018), I thought the whole SS program would certainly have been cancelled by 2020.

Anonymous No. 16208748

>>16208736
good to hear, don't care about /pol/shit when it comes to space. I would even cheer on a Taliban lunar mission.

Anonymous No. 16208753

>>16208748
even if somebody does care about /pol/shit a us vs. china irl space opera would be the best /pol/shit to ever happen

Anonymous No. 16208762

>>16208753
it without a doubt would be good for humanity in the long run, competition is a good thing.
we have seen how destructive it is for our society when we're the only one true super power of the world.

Anonymous No. 16208764

>>16208736
Good job China

Anonymous No. 16208767

>>16207453
>anon doesn't know about manifesting
>>16207520
cute

Anonymous No. 16208768

>>16208747
NTA but when the stainless stell era began that'swhen I knew starship would really happen. Previously I actually thought itmay have enededup cancelled. In the carbon composite era they had spent billions for virtually zero hardware produced, and in each updated rendition of the vehicle it was smaller.

Image not available

1168x4024

IMG_8219.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208774

Fumbled the bag

Anonymous No. 16208776

>>16208774
How hard would it be to put the Venusian atmosphere on Mars? No timeline or budget constraints, just physics

Anonymous No. 16208777

>>16208768
>in each updated rendition of the vehicle it was smaller
now the renders show the vehicle getting bigger and anons are doomposting about it

Anonymous No. 16208781

>>16208776
Just scoop out all the Venus air and dump it on Mars. Anons have previously suggested freezing CO2 blocks and using a mass accelerator to throw them into dumb Mars intercept orbits, so that there's a constant stream of blocks falling onto Mars to thicken the atmosphere there while reducing Venus'.

Anonymous No. 16208785

>>16208777
not bigger, longer. completely different.

Anonymous No. 16208789

>>16208546
So much money would free up for more earth sciences if h*bble goes down.

Anonymous No. 16208792

>>16208781
wrong place. much easier to set up a mass driver and get pre-frozen blocks of the chemicals you want from a Jovian moon or something in the asteroid beld

Anonymous No. 16208796

>>16208777
I mean, there are actual problems to doompost about. They got stuck with a tiny diameter due to the impossibility of manufacturing a large vehicle in the carbon composite era. When they switched to stainless they should have gone back to ITS diameter immediately, or maybe even said fuck it and gone with an 18m diameter. Among a whole host of benefits, wider booster means it can aerobrake more effectively on the atmosphere. I think one of the reasons they are dumping the hotstage ring is because it's weight makes the vehicle's drag to weight ratio too bad

Anonymous No. 16208798

>>16208774
say we do terraform them in the far future what plant life and animals do we introduce?

Anonymous No. 16208801

>>16208796
>fattest payload bay ever built
>tiny diameter
fuck you 18 meter starship anon you're retarded and I hate your fucking guts

Anonymous No. 16208805

>>16208798
Mars would be understory plants already adapted to low light. They'd get taller in the Mars gravity so you'd have a normal looking forest right out of the gate.
Venus would be very wet and warm, so it would make sense to import many different species of mosquitos. Maybe genetically engineer some to be larger, and you could also genetically engineer a plant that uses the excess energy from the closer sun to generate fruit filled with blood. I think we have a real shot at a fully mosquito based ecology

Anonymous No. 16208807

>>16208801
Bigger is better

Anonymous No. 16208808

>>16208792
I suppose it'd be less energy intensive to drop stuff back into the inner system than speed it up to go from Venus to Mars, but what's a good candidate that has as much raw CO2 as Venus? Stripping Venus is a two birds with one stone, you strengthen Mars while slowly cooling Venus.

Anonymous No. 16208809

>>16208801
we arent comparing this rogget to an atlas 5 or whatever. We are comparing it to a vehicle which can be used to colonize another planet. Starship cant do that because it's too small. Zubrin actually got what he wanted. It's over.

Anonymous No. 16208810

>>16208805
Settle down bill gates

Anonymous No. 16208811

>>16208798
Some high desert plants might work well on Tharsis.
Venus you could probably just have jungle plants, maybe a few mosquito species

Anonymous No. 16208814

>>16208798
Personally I would put a bunch of mosquitos on Venus.

Anonymous No. 16208816

>>16208805
>I think we have a real shot at a fully mosquito based ecology
Listen, if we're creating ecologies then the LAST fucking thing we're doing is introducing blood sucking parasites.
Exterminate mosquitos, leeches, and especially fucking woodticks. None of them make it off this world.
>>16208814
Fuck you

Image not available

900x556

278e42363ac85face....jpg

Anonymous No. 16208819

>>16208805
all that and we import reptiles so we just turn Venus into Earth 100 mil years ago
um kino alert

Anonymous No. 16208820

>>16208819
I kneel

Anonymous No. 16208823

>>16208819
We can make Earth like that, just burn more fossile fuels. We need more CO2

Anonymous No. 16208825

>>16208774
>>16208819
If the day length is the same you could give literally every plant and animal bioluminescence for the four month long night, like avatar. We already do that with fish so I'm pretty sure this isn't hard. You might want to speed up plants biological clock somehow so they treat night like winter or something

Anonymous No. 16208826

>>16208825
damn forgot about their day length that changes things massively!

Anonymous No. 16208827

>>16208823
co2 lowers human IQ so it shouldbe illegal to have ANY in the atmosphere.

Anonymous No. 16208828

>>16208823
Reforrest South America, the population can be displaced into the adjacent sea

Anonymous No. 16208831

>>16208827
it should be illegal to have any atmosphere

Image not available

844x552

venus spin up.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208832

Reminder that Venus can be spun up to a 24 hour day in 30 years
https://orionsarm.com/fm_store/SpinAPlanet.pdf

Image not available

479x422

12ee812eea986a618....jpg

Anonymous No. 16208833

>>16208826
Stellaser Europa until the jet from the evaporating ice flings it from orbit into a Venusian capture orbit to speed up the spin and dump a bunch of water on it

Anonymous No. 16208834

>>16208833
Oh uh or you could >>16208832

Image not available

884x496

xF2tLXPnJQYrOWT4.webm

Anonymous No. 16208835

>>16208820
>Good news, CNSA! Your package it on its way
>your delivery is expected to arrive: June 20th

Anonymous No. 16208838

>>16208832
not sure I want to screw with ""stable"" orbits of our planets even if this probs won't do anything bad

Anonymous No. 16208840

>>16208835
Please explain this entire post to me

Image not available

2500x1667

GPKODC_W4AA8Y1R.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208844

Image not available

1312x2873

bug legs.png

Anonymous No. 16208845

>>16208805
Never change, /sfg/

Image not available

809x811

Enceladus Mars ds....jpg

Anonymous No. 16208847

Image not available

1238x663

Comet Bernardinel....jpg

Anonymous No. 16208848

Image not available

638x360

hqeoXfnSjfa-IDUa.webm

Anonymous No. 16208850

Image not available

872x617

nasa flip flop fa....jpg

Anonymous No. 16208854

Anonymous No. 16208863

>>16208850
nice

Anonymous No. 16208867

>>16208850
cool that they got roggs from the back but that's like 3 tablespoons

Anonymous No. 16208870

>>16208850
How can this be real without women and negroes?

Anonymous No. 16208871

>>16208854
Who would win: indecisive world power or an african American with Aspergers

Anonymous No. 16208873

>>16208844
the dream is alive.

Anonymous No. 16208883

>>16208867
Chang'e 6 is mostly made from spares from Chang'e 5, and that brought back 1.7 kg of samples.

Anonymous No. 16208893

>>16208641
Close, that was actually referring to *Starliner*

Anonymous No. 16208897

>>16208893
we need to stop starliner christmas from coming

Anonymous No. 16208908

>>16208897
Let a thousand Starliners bloom.

Image not available

1200x750

GPMYrg3aAAALGxC.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208919

https://twitter.com/tobyliiiiiiiiii/status/1797808499457667480
>Taken by a small rover attached to the rover, we get our first look at the robotic spacecraft on the Moon's far side. More spacecraft with views like these please.

Anonymous No. 16208928

>>16208919
NASA mogged utterly

Anonymous No. 16208933

>>16208919
kek at the little flag

Image not available

800x588

GPMMc0jawAEeZ-z.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208936

>>16208933
And of course they had to take some pictures of the flag too

Anonymous No. 16208941

>>16208936
Very strong country

Anonymous No. 16208943

>>16208936
imagine the looting and riots if nasa did this with the usa flag

Image not available

4000x3000

orion artemis 1.jpg

Anonymous No. 16208945

>>16208943
are you retarded?

Anonymous No. 16208946

>>16208943
>Guys I made up another fantasy to get upset about! I need to tell everyone about this made up scenario in my head!

Anonymous No. 16208947

We should make Venus spin faster.
4ASS? Your proposals.

Anonymous No. 16208948

>>16208945
yea

Anonymous No. 16208949

>>16208943
lol triggered

Anonymous No. 16208950

thoughts on NTR?

Anonymous No. 16208951

>>16208947
we should tidally lock Venus

Anonymous No. 16208952

>>16208951
we should tidally lock uranus

Image not available

760x838

Eros_-_PIA02923_(....jpg

Anonymous No. 16208956

>>16208947
>>16208951
whichever you want to do, my proposal would suffice

Anonymous No. 16208960

>>16208947
boost ceres to hit venus, it might also create a smol moon

Anonymous No. 16208965

>>16208840
have you ever ordered a package on the internet?
China has a lunar sample return mission coming back from the far side, so this anon is making a post as if they ordered a package

Anonymous No. 16208969

>>16208945
DAMN the worm logo is so good.

Anonymous No. 16208970

>>16208947
Convert Mercury into a PROCSIMA array and just blast one edge of Venus constantly

Anonymous No. 16208974

>>16208945
VSVN?

Anonymous No. 16208977

What is the lowest acceptable TWR for an upper stage?

Anonymous No. 16208979

>>16208969
It looks retarded on the space launch system solid rocket boosters, though

Anonymous No. 16208994

>>16208977
0.8g

Anonymous No. 16209013

Can someone explain stellarators to me and why I keep hearing about them

Anonymous No. 16209018

>>16208748
>Strap me to a missile and fire me at the Moon, I am ready

Anonymous No. 16209019

>tfw demo-2 happened over 4 years ago
>starliner STILL hasn't launched a person into orbit

Anonymous No. 16209025

>>16209019
>starliner STILL hasn't blown it's test astronauts into their component atoms

ftfy

Image not available

658x514

1605554171191.png

Anonymous No. 16209026

>>16208893
Starship, Starliner, easily confused, many such cases!

Anonymous No. 16209027

>>16209019
I remember in 2019 when Pence came out and threatened if SLS/Boeing was unable to return to the Moon on time, they would go with a commercial partner who could

Anonymous No. 16209028

>>16209027
Wasn't that Jim and he got Shelby'd for it? Or was the Bridenstack a follow-up to that?

Anonymous No. 16209029

>>16208965
>two weeks delivery
So they're testing space delivery for Aliexpress?

Image not available

2550x3300

falcon_heavy_EM1.jpg

Anonymous No. 16209030

>>16209028
Jim threatened that as well in front of congress, specifically that EM-1 would be done on Falcon Heavy (with astronauts aboard)

Anonymous No. 16209032

>>16208495
Musk got a tour of Los Alamos, the DoD is going to have Spacex develop nuclear engines because they know none of the other contractors can do it on a reasonable timeframe and budget

Anonymous No. 16209037

>>16209019
>incinerated a person in orbit

Anonymous No. 16209047

>>16209027
>>16209028
https://youtu.be/ZQkoFuNWXg8?t=20m39s
>The truth is, we’re committed to Marshall, the incredible history that you have here. But to be clear, we’re not committed to any one contractor. If our current contractors can’t meet this objective, then we’ll find ones that will. If American industry can provide critical commercial services without government development, then we’ll buy them. And if commercial rockets are the only way to get American astronauts to the Moon in the next five years, then commercial rockets it will be.
Imagine going to NASA Marshall and telling them if they dont get their ass in shape they'll buy commercial instead of launch on SLS

Anonymous No. 16209049

>>16209032
I hope this is true with a near religious ferver

Anonymous No. 16209056

>taking soil samples
what's next for china's lunar plans?

Anonymous No. 16209058

we need to lock Witten in a room and not let him out until he figures out FTL

Anonymous No. 16209061

>>16209056
Finding something alive so they can cook it

Anonymous No. 16209064

If you told me in 2019 that starship still hadn't completed a successful flight in 2024 I would've kms

Anonymous No. 16209066

>>16209064
FAA is to blame

Anonymous No. 16209069

Notice how ever since Biden was elected spaceflight slowed down bigly

Anonymous No. 16209073

>>16209013
New meme tech now that plasma magnet fizzled out. This one is about fusion. Tokamaks but all twisty.

Image not available

900x676

delusional.png

Anonymous No. 16209078

>>16209066

Anonymous No. 16209082

The launches have been speeding up since IFT-1. Are you guys okay?

Anonymous No. 16209084

Starliner will carry people to space before Starship.
Let that sink in.

Image not available

375x500

tsuki to laika to....jpg

Anonymous No. 16209086

>>16209084
Are you sure

Anonymous No. 16209087

>>16209069
we warned you niggers in advance this would happen

Anonymous No. 16209093

>>16209013
Image a tokamak. Now imagine a tokamak that's 100X more expensive than the cheapest tokamak. That's a stellarator

Anonymous No. 16209095

>>16209030
>>16209027
publicly humiliating boeing feels good and all but he should've just made good on the threat. we could be doing 4 artemis 2-style missions a year right now if he'd pulled the trigger.

Anonymous No. 16209097

>>16208840
>分离上升监视相机
separation ascent observation camera

Anonymous No. 16209103

>>16209064
i remember the threads where everyone would make predictions and i was the FUDder for saying first orbit in 2022

Anonymous No. 16209104

>>16209095
That's the downside of putting the landing in your second term. Ofc Shelby hadnt retired yet either, and Jim apparently planned to retire (or get fired) by term 2 anyway

Anonymous No. 16209109

>>16209104
a 2024 landing was always just a fiction to make trump happy. bridenstine wouldn't have waited until 2021 to hand out HLS contracts if he ever had an intention of meeting that. but maybe that's for the best, because if they'd tried starting lander development in 2017 it would've been something launched on SLS block 2.

Anonymous No. 16209113

>>16209109
Ironically if Trump wins in 2024 he’ll probably see Artemis land people during his presidency

Anonymous No. 16209115

>>16209113
My biggest hope right now is Trump victory > China moon landing > $1 trillion emergency executive order. That's the quickest path I think

Anonymous No. 16209119

>>16209064
>>16209103
Elon time is a well-known meme yet people still fall for it every time somehow. In 2019 my predictions for a full stack launch were actually too pessimistic, but the following years when stuff got moving quickly I became too optimistic again.

>>16209113
It's probably gonna be right around the 2028 election cycle, too.

>>16209115
I doubt China is gonna be that quick.

Anonymous No. 16209121

>>16209113
>>16209115
>Anons think trump is doing anything with space if he gets elected
ahahahahaha
They never learn.

Anonymous No. 16209125

>>16209121
>>16209119
Trump will do what he did last time, which is to try to get as much PR out of space as possible. He was pretty good with this. Also for his credit, Biden has had decent space policy too

Anonymous No. 16209127

>>16209121
Trump was an amazing space president

Anonymous No. 16209130

>>16209125
>Also for his credit, Biden has had decent space policy too
No he hasn't.

Anonymous No. 16209132

>>16209121
>>16209125
>>16209127
Yeah, Pence was the one who cared about space. But a Chinese Moon landing would be quite the motivator so I think an attempt at acceleration wouldn't be unlikely. I just don't think the Chinks are actually going to get there before 2028 either.

Anonymous No. 16209139

>>16209125
if china gets moonboots before artemis does then trump/biden are both going to go down in the history books as being horrible on space

Anonymous No. 16209142

>>16209132
Why dont you shut the fuck up you polititard MIGA cuck

Anonymous No. 16209143

>>16209132
>don't think the Chinks are actually going to get there before 2028
They have the lander, they can keep people in space, what's stopping them from doing it next week?

Anonymous No. 16209144

>>16209125
What pro-space actions has the Biden administration taken?

Anonymous No. 16209145

what would be the political ramifications of the yellow man landing on the moon before us?

Anonymous No. 16209148

>>16209132
Chinks could do it in three launches with a Falcon Heavy equivalent

Anonymous No. 16209149

>>16209143
>They have the lander
no they don't. they don't have the rocket either.

Anonymous No. 16209150

>>16209125
>Biden has had decent space policy
What??

Anonymous No. 16209153

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h_DEYWIIRzs
>Lots of luck on your trip to the Moon

Anonymous No. 16209154

>>16209145
>>16209144
>>16209143
>>16209142
>>16209139
>>16209132
>>16209130
>>16209127
>>16209125
>>16209121
>>16209119
>>16209115
>>16209113
>>16209109
>>16209104
>>16209103
>>16209150
>>16209148
Retarded politifags go back to >>>/pol/

Anonymous No. 16209157

>>16209154
no, this has mostly been focused on space policy for once

Anonymous No. 16209159

>>16209154
huh?

Anonymous No. 16209160

>>16209154
A few misreplies in there but point made

Anonymous No. 16209161

>>16209154
Brandonites go back to
>>>/lgbt/
>>>/y/
>>>/trash/

Anonymous No. 16209162

>>16209154
You'd have a point if space wasn't completely intertwined with government

Anonymous No. 16209166

I am actually really scared about IFT-4. I hope Ship 29 makes it through reentry and I hope Booster 11 splashes down in one piece

Anonymous No. 16209169

>>16209166
I am betting on Ship 29 being a loss, but Booster 11 splashing down, however it will do so way too fucking fast.

Anonymous No. 16209170

>>16209154
Tongue my anus

Anonymous No. 16209171

>>16209166
I dont think they expect it to survive or else they would put those tiles back on

Anonymous No. 16209173

>>16209145
Hopefully full-blown panic followed by the lunar exploration equivalent of that time the Soviets lied through their teeth about the capabilities of their next-gen fighter jet, and the US freaked out and produced a plane that STILL holds its own today.
>We have randed two taikonaut, next mission we wirr rand three and bring hab modure
>The United States Space Force, in a joint mission with NASA and private partner Spacex, has established a permanently-manned outpost on the Lunar surface consisting of five combination lab-hab Starships and a landing pad currently under construction. This program did not exist eighteen months ago.

Anonymous No. 16209189

>>16209145
>>16209173
if it's a simple clean-cut matter of chinese moonboots then i bet it's just not really going to change much. congress still won't want to ditch SLS and they'll have an easy scapegoat in spacex. they certainly won't want to give the president more discretionary authority over nasa's budget the way they did in the '60s.
normies might be mad about it for a week and then they'll forget it happened.
if there's anything to all the intel buzz about xi ordering the PLA to be ready to move on taiwan by 2027 then that might add the extra dimension of urgency to start shaking things up.

Anonymous No. 16209192

Does anyone here legitimately give two shits about a moon base? It sounds like hell, and unlike Mars, has all sorts of fucking problems that can never be surmounted.

Anonymous No. 16209199

>>16209192
I want to mine steel and titanium on it and then launch them into EML5 and then declare spacenoid independence

Anonymous No. 16209204

>>16209166
if it survives re-entry then the next set of tiles will be made of stainless steel

it's not going to live anon

Anonymous No. 16209220

>>16209166
I'm not. I feared for 1 like a scared cat. 2 was easier. 3 was good. 4 will be a cake for me. I thought 1 was a fluke as they made it out of the pad nearly fine. 2 proved it wasn't a fluke. 3 showed that it is not a routine that they have a near perfect launch control sequence. 4 will be similar in perfect launch sequence.

Only thing I have issues is how many more minor issues they'll encounter before they can launch a real payload to orbit. Launch 5-6 should be real payload imo. If they can get the 4th launch to orbital phase just fine. They might have issues with heatshields that might take few more tries but I think the payload sector should be fine

Anonymous No. 16209223

>>16209192
A moonbase would have its uses I think. It'd never escape earths influence like a mars colony could but its orbit would probably be the easiest place to build larger ships on after sufficient material processing can get sent to the surface and the mantle can be mined.

Anonymous No. 16209226

>>16209192
Moonbase would be nice to have. A single cargo starship could act as such. Or multiple. It would only cost $100M a piece for a nice 1000 cubic meter space

Anonymous No. 16209228

>>16209226
>1000 cubic meter
1 cubic km, imagine that

Anonymous No. 16209232

>>16209228
It's actually too much space

Anonymous No. 16209233

>>16209192
We need to create one. For Newt Gingrich.

And John Madden.

Anonymous No. 16209234

>Musk is under investigation for insider trading
Whoops. Well, it was fun while it lasted.

Image not available

867x1156

1717478418590.jpg

Anonymous No. 16209236

Someone posted this on the Discord, anyone know the source?

Anonymous No. 16209241

>>16209236
SN-8.

Anonymous No. 16209242

>>16209236
that's for paid discord members only, marsh. next time you do this you're banned.

Anonymous No. 16209243

>>16209242
sorry

Anonymous No. 16209245

>>16209236
How does he get out?

Anonymous No. 16209246

https://fortune.com/2024/06/03/elon-musk-tesla-insider-trading-lawsuit-board-directors/

Anonymous No. 16209249

>>16209246
Nobody cares nigger we saw the first post now stop posting. This is Tesla which is NOT SPACEFLIGHT I REPEAT NOT SPACEFLIGHT. It is not spaceflight adjacent one bit either

Anonymous No. 16209250

>>16209249
Tesla /SpaceX, whatever man

Anonymous No. 16209252

>>16209249
>Elon isn't SpaceX adjacent
Cool cool cool. Don't make another thread.

Anonymous No. 16209257

>>16209252
Elon regarding Tesla is not SpaceX. And funding nor expertise/leadership doesnt come from him anymore since SpaceX is now profit neutral. Tesla is not spaceflight even if it references Musk just like how Neuralink is not spaceflight even if it references Musk. Shut the fuck up

Anonymous No. 16209258

>>16209246
Ironic shitposting is shitposting.

Anonymous No. 16209261

>>16208870
protip: it's not, it's being faked and filmed in the gobi desert

Anonymous No. 16209262

>>16209192
yes moon base would be a great staging ground for building ships and other random sci fi stuff

Anonymous No. 16209273

>>16208266
no it isn't. It's not asymmetrical

Anonymous No. 16209278

>>16209273
pop_sci_mush.jpg

Anonymous No. 16209280

>>16209278
>The space shuttle is pop sci
take meds

Anonymous No. 16209281

>2 days remain
>still no license
FAAbros I don't feel so good...

Anonymous No. 16209282

>>16208026
it would have been way too based

Anonymous No. 16209288

>>16209280
shut up, kid

Image not available

1179x223

IMG_4234.jpg

Anonymous No. 16209292

STAGING

>>16209290
>>16209290
>>16209290
>>16209290
>>16209290

Anonymous No. 16209304

>>16209281
Joe Biden is holding it back

Image not available

1080x1012

6ipycr.png

Anonymous No. 16209308

>>16209288
>sh shut up!

Anonymous No. 16209310

>>16209308
You need to grow up if your still posting shit like that

Anonymous No. 16209314

>>16209310
>says shut up instead of articulating anything
>calls me a kid
you're having a bad night aren't you

Image not available

536x787

Alexander Grebenk....jpg

Anonymous No. 16209399

>>16209073
>le 'plasma magnet is a meme' meme

Anonymous No. 16209529

>>16209103
people here are retarded npcs. they still think artemis will happen before the end of the decade.

Image not available

1504x829

IMG_2113.jpg

Doann_Goddess No. 16209530

>>16206969
Ai de plm :3

Anonymous No. 16209546

>>16209220
>Launch 5-6 should be real payload imo. If they can get the 4th launch to orbital phase just fine.
That's what I've been thinking too, I wouldn't be surprised to see some useful payload on launch 5. They've almost got it reliable enough to throw crap into orbit while they figure out that landing thing.

Image not available

398x398

1679001803304245.jpg

Anonymous No. 16209641

>>16209242
Elon's OnlyFans LEAKED!